Buffalo at Kansas City

Updated
Rank3
P/G29.6
PA/G18.7
36.7%63.3%
Buffalo WinKansas City Win
21.6Projected Points 25.1
20Final Score 17
Rank2
P/G24.1
PA/G19.6
Rank3
P/G29.6
PA/G18.7
Rank2
P/G24.1
PA/G19.6

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.11210.92413

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.81210.42210

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 34-37 at Philadelphia EaglesBUF: Josh Allen • PHI: Jalen Hurts+135
W 6-32 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-370
L 24-22 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Russell Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-380
L 18-24 at Cincinnati BengalsBUF: Josh Allen • CIN: Joe Burrow+110
W 18-24 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen-475
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 19-27 at Green Bay PackersKC: Patrick Mahomes • GB: Jordan Love-250
W 31-17 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-440
L 21-17 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • KC: Patrick Mahomes-140
W 14-21 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • KC: Patrick Mahomes-103
L 9-24 at Denver BroncosKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Russell Wilson-320

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • CBKaiir ElamProbable
  • LBVon MillerProbable
  • STaylor RappProbable
  • TEDawson KnoxProbable
  • CBDane JacksonProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • RBJerick McKinnonProbable
  • LBNick BoltonProbable
  • RBIsiah PachecoOut
  • WRMecole Hardman Jr.IR
  • LBDrue TranquillOut
  • SBryan CookOut
  • -Donovan SmithOut
W 6 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)44°43°40°39°
Humidity50%52%59%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudyCloudy
WindW 6 mphSW 5 mphSSW 5 mphS 5 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+135+100+115+108+115+108+115+116.8
Kansas City-160-120-135-128-135-128-120-116.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+135+105+104+110+105+105+110+116.8
Kansas City-160-125-122-130-125-125-122-116.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+3-108+2-108+2-105+2-112+2-110+2-112+2-105+2-102
Kansas City-3-108-2-108-2-115-2-108-2-110-2-108-2-108-2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+3-110+1½-110+1½-110+2-110+2-110+1½-110+2-110+2-102
Kansas City-3-110-1½-110-1½-110-2-110-2-110-1½-110-1½-110-2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1-105 to +1½-115
Kansas City Spread moved from -1-110 to -1-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +0-110 to -1½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-108o49-108o49-115o49-117o49-110o49-117o49-108o49-106
Underu48-108u49-108u49-105u49-103u49-110u49-103u49-103u49+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49½-110o49-110o49-110o49-106
Underu48-110u49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u49+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-105 to o49-115
The Under moved from u49-110 to u49-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49-110 to u48½-110