Cleveland at New England

Updated
Rank20
P/G20.5
PA/G21.8
50.8%49.2%
Cleveland WinNew England Win
22.6Projected Points 22.2
7Final Score 45
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
Rank20
P/G20.5
PA/G21.8
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.78240.083

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.09237.0107

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Browns
Money Line
W 41-16 at Cincinnati BengalsCLE: Baker Mayfield • CIN: Joe Burrow+110
L 15-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • CLE: Baker Mayfield-215
W 14-17 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Teddy Bridgewater • CLE: Case Keenum-125
L 37-14 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • CLE: Baker Mayfield-140
L 42-47 at Los Angeles ChargersCLE: Baker Mayfield • LAC: Justin Herbert+125
New England Patriots
Money Line
W 24-6 at Carolina PanthersNE: Mac Jones • CAR: Sam Darnold-175
W 27-24 at Los Angeles ChargersNE: Mac Jones • LAC: Justin Herbert+172
W 13-54 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • NE: Mac Jones-320
L 35-29 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • NE: Mac Jones+190
W 25-22 at Houston TexansNE: Mac Jones • HOU: Davis Mills-360

Injuries

Cleveland Browns

Status
  • RBKareem HuntIR
  • LBJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahIR
  • DLMyles GarrettProbable
  • WROdell Beckham Jr.Unknown
  • CNick HarrisDoubtful
  • RBNick ChubbOut
  • RBDemetric FeltonOut
  • CBGreedy WilliamsOut
  • TJack ConklinIR
  • RBJohn KellyOut
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRGunner OlszewskiOut
  • LBJamie CollinsDoubtful
  • TEJonnu SmithOut
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • RBRhamondre StevensonProbable
  • WRN'Keal HarryProbable
  • DLChase WinovichIR
  • LBHarvey LangiIR
  • DBJonathan JonesIR
WSW 7 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)49°49°49°47°
Humidity55%55%58%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercast
WindWSW 7 mphSW 6 mphSW 5 mphSSW 5 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+120+125+115+120+120+120+125+123.6
New England-140-145-135-140-140-140-135-123.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+125+120+118+120+115+125+125+123.6
New England-145-140-136-140-135-145-135-123.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+3-110+2½+100+2½-105+2½-105+2½-104+2½-105+2½+100+2½+104
New England-3-110-2½-120-2½-115-2½-115-2½-114-2½-115-2½-114-2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+2½+104
New England-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-110-2½-110-2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from +1+111 to +2½-109
New England Spread moved from -2½-109 to -1-129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from +2-110 to +1-110
New England Spread moved from -1½-110 to -2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-109o44½-110o44½-109o45+110
Underu44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-109u44½-110u44½-109u45-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o45+110
Underu43½-110u45-110u44½-110u44½-110u45-110u44½-110u45-110u45-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-104 to o44½-109
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110