Indianapolis at Atlanta

Updated

Indianapolis Colts

(9-8)
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
48.2%51.8%
Indianapolis WinAtlanta Win
20.5Projected Points 21.1
10Final Score 29

Atlanta Falcons

(7-10)
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9

Quarterbacks

Gardner Minshew II

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.31010.7148

Taylor Heinicke

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
55.4212.131

Last 5 Games

Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
W 13-30 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • IND: Gardner Minshew II-115
L 14-34 at Cincinnati BengalsIND: Gardner Minshew II • CIN: Jake Browning+145
W 31-28 at Tennessee TitansIND: Gardner Minshew II • TEN: Will Levis-120
W 20-27 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • IND: Gardner Minshew II-145
W 10-6 vs New England PatriotsIND: Gardner Minshew II • NE: Mac Jones-120
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 7-9 at Carolina PanthersATL: Desmond Ridder • CAR: Bryce Young-140
L 29-25 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Desmond Ridder-124
W 13-8 at New York JetsATL: Desmond Ridder • NYJ: Tim Boyle-130
W 15-24 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Taylor Heinicke+115
L 23-25 at Arizona CardinalsATL: Taylor Heinicke • ARI: Kyler Murray-130

Injuries

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieOut for Season
  • WRMichael Pittman Jr.Out
  • GBraden SmithOut
  • CBTony BrownOut for Season
  • GJack AndersonOut
  • LBSegun OlubiOut
  • DEAl-Quadin MuhammadOut
  • RBJonathan TaylorProbable
  • RBZack MossOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • QBTaylor HeinickeUnknown
  • TKaleb McGaryOut
  • GChris LindstromProbable
  • LBBud DupreeProbable
  • DLKentavius StreetIR
  • DLDavid OnyemataProbable
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Alan Eck
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis-125+125+135+131+135+131+135+139.0
Atlanta+105-145-160-151-155-151-145-139.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+100+125+126+122+135+130+135+139.0
Atlanta-120-145-144-145-155-150-144-139.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+1½-108+2½+102+3-115+3-115+3-120+3-115+2½+102+3-104
Atlanta-1½-108-2½-118-3-105-3-105-3+100-3-105-3+100-3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+1½-110+3-110+2½+105+2½-105+3-110+2½+100+3-110+3-104
Atlanta-1½-110-3-110-2½-125-2½-115-3-110-2½-120-2½-115-3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Indianapolis: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Indianapolis: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Indianapolis Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -1-110 to -2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Indianapolis: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Indianapolis: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Indianapolis Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-108o44½-108o44-110o44-115o44-110o44-115o44-110o44-104
Underu43-108u44½-108u44-110u44-105u44-110u44-105u44½-108u44+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o44½-110o44½-105o44-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-105o44-104
Underu44-110u44½-110u44½-115u44-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-112 to o44-115
The Under moved from u44½-115 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110
Buffalo at LA Chargers
Green Bay at Carolina