Tampa Bay at Indianapolis

Updated
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
41.8%58.2%
Tampa Bay WinIndianapolis Win
18.9Projected Points 21.7
20Final Score 27
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.61010.6156

Gardner Minshew II

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.7610.686

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 14-27 at San Francisco 49ersTB: Baker Mayfield • SF: Brock Purdy+625
W 6-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • TB: Baker Mayfield-140
L 37-39 at Houston TexansTB: Baker Mayfield • HOU: C.J. Stroud+130
L 18-24 at Buffalo BillsTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen+425
L 16-13 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Desmond Ridder • TB: Baker Mayfield-145
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
W 10-6 vs New England PatriotsIND: Gardner Minshew II • NE: Mac Jones-120
W 27-13 at Carolina PanthersIND: Gardner Minshew II • CAR: Bryce Young-120
L 38-27 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • IND: Gardner Minshew II+125
L 39-38 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • IND: Gardner Minshew II+165
L 20-37 at Jacksonville JaguarsIND: Gardner Minshew II • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+173

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DLMike GreeneOut
  • CBJamel DeanOut
  • LBLavonte DavidOut

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • CBJuJu BrentsOut
  • LBDarius LeonardUnknown
  • CRyan KellyOut
  • TEAndrew OgletreeOut
SW 8 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)39°39°40°39°
Humidity93%92%91%91%
Precipitation70%56%43%0%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleDrizzleCloudy
WindSW 8 mphSW 9 mphSW 10 mphWSW 10 mph
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+100+120+120+130+130+130+130+138.0
Indianapolis-120-140-140-150-150-150-140-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+100+140+127+122+130+130+140+138.0
Indianapolis-120-160-145-145-150-150-145-138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1-110+2½+102+2½+100+2½+105+2½+100+2½+105+2½+105+2½+114
Indianapolis-1-110-2½-118-2½-120-2½-125-2½-120-2½-125-2½-118-2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1-110+2½-110+2½-105+2½+100+2½-101+2½+100+2½+100+2½+114
Indianapolis-1-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-120-2½-119-2½-120-2½-110-2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
Indianapolis Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Indianapolis Spread moved from -1-110 to -2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o45-108o45-115o44½-115o45-110o44½-115o44½-115o44½-104
Underu41½-110u45-108u45-105u44½-105u45-110u44½-105u45-105u44½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-104
Underu42½-110u45-110u44½-110u44½-110u45-110u45-110u45-110u44½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o45-115
The Under moved from u45-112 to u44½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o45½-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110