Kansas City at Indianapolis

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(15-6)
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
68.3%31.7%
Kansas City WinIndianapolis Win
28.6Projected Points 23.3
17Final Score 20

Indianapolis Colts

(9-8)
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.02298.070

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.02274.014

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 24-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-200
W 44-21 at Arizona CardinalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ARI: Kyler Murray-250
L 27-24 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • KC: Patrick Mahomes-310
W 36-42 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-130
W 21-42 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes-630
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 0-24 at Jacksonville JaguarsIND: Matt Ryan • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-150
T 20-20 at Houston TexansIND: Matt Ryan • HOU: Davis Mills-305
L 11-26 at Jacksonville JaguarsIND: Carson Wentz • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-850
L 23-20 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • IND: Carson Wentz-370
W 22-16 at Arizona CardinalsIND: Carson Wentz • ARI: Kyler Murray+150

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • TEBlake BellIR
  • DEMike DannaOut
  • WRJustin WatsonProbable
  • KHarrison ButkerOut
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • WRMecole HardmanProbable
  • WRJustyn RossIR
  • CBTrent McDuffieIR
  • TLucas NiangUnknown

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • DEYannick NgakoueProbable
  • WRMichael Pittman Jr.Probable
  • WRAlec PierceProbable
  • SArmani WattsIR
  • PRigoberto SanchezIR
  • TEAndrew OgletreeIR
  • STrevor DenbowIR
  • TCarter O'DonnellIR
  • LBDarius LeonardOut
  • CBDallis FlowersOut
WNW 13 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°70°71°72°
Humidity61%57%55%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 13 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 14 mphWNW 15 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-165-230-235-220-225-220-220-192.5
Indianapolis+145+195+195+190+195+190+195+192.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-255-210-216-220-230-215-210-192.5
Indianapolis+215+180+190+190+195+185+195+192.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3-108-5-108-5-110-4½-110-4½-109-4½-110-4½-109-4½+100
Indianapolis+3-108+5-108+5-110+4½-110+4½-109+4½-110+5-108+4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-6-110-5-110-4½-110-5-110-5-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½+100
Indianapolis+6-110+5-110+4½-110+5-110+5-110+4½-110+5-110+4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -4½-108 to -5½-108
Indianapolis Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -6-110 to -9½-110
Indianapolis Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52½-108o51-108o51-110o51-110o51-109o51-110o51-108o51+100
Underu52½-108u51-108u51-110u51-110u51-109u51-110u51-108u51+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o51-110o51-110o51-110o51-110o51-110o51-110o51+100
Underu49½-110u51-110u51-110u51-110u51-110u51-110u51-110u51+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50½-110 to o51-110
The Under moved from u50½-105 to u50½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50½-110 to o51-110
The Under moved from u50-110 to u48½-110
Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Baltimore at New England