Cincinnati at Kansas City

Updated
Rank11
P/G21.5
PA/G22.6
27.4%72.6%
Cincinnati WinKansas City Win
21.6Projected Points 28.7
27Final Score 24
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank11
P/G21.5
PA/G22.6
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0

Quarterbacks

Joe Burrow

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.416288.03414

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.317285.03713

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
W 19-16 at Tennessee TitansCIN: Joe Burrow • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+185
W 19-26 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • CIN: Joe Burrow-240
L 16-21 at Cleveland BrownsCIN: Brandon Allen • CLE: Case Keenum+240
W 31-34 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CIN: Joe Burrow+170
W 21-41 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Josh Johnson • CIN: Joe Burrow-340
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 36-42 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-130
W 21-42 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes-630
W 28-24 at Denver BroncosKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Drew Lock-600
L 31-34 at Cincinnati BengalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CIN: Joe Burrow-180
W 10-36 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes-420

Injuries

Cincinnati Bengals

Status
  • DECameron SampleOut
  • DTMike DanielsProbable
  • DTJosh TupouOut
  • WRStanley Morgan Jr.Out
  • LBAkeem Davis-GaitherIR
  • DTLarry OgunjobiOut for Season

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • TLucas NiangOut for Season
  • DTKhalen SaundersProbable
  • CBRashad FentonProbable
  • STyrann MathieuProbable
  • RBDarrel WilliamsProbable
NW 5 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)43°44°44°43°
Humidity44%40%41%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 5 mphNW 5 mphNNW 4 mphNE 3 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+260+265+270+260+280+270+280+280.1
Kansas City-320-330-325-320-355-325-320-280.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+240+270+272+280+280+270+280+280.1
Kansas City-280-310-320-340-340-310-310-280.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+7-120+7-110+7-112+7½-130+7-104+7-112+7-104+7+100
Kansas City-7+100-7-110-7-108-7½+110-7-114-7-108-7½+110-7-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-105+7-105+7+100
Kansas City-7-110-7-110-7-110-7-110-7-110-7-105-7-105-7-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from +7½-120 to +7½-130
Kansas City Spread moved from -7½-104 to -7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from +7-101 to +7-110
Kansas City Spread moved from -7-110 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o54½-115o54½-110o54½-110o54½-109o54½-110o54½-109o54½+102
Underu49½-110u54½-105u54½-110u54½-110u54½-109u54½-110u54½-105u54½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½+102
Underu50½-110u54½-110u54½-110u54½-110u54½-110u54½-110u54½-110u54½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-110 to o54½-115
The Under moved from u54½-105 to u54½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-110 to o55-110
The Under moved from u55-110 to u54½-110