Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated
Rank16
P/G22.4
PA/G24.2
69.3%30.7%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
25.6Projected Points 20.1
23Final Score 3
Rank25
P/G18.0
PA/G22.5
Rank16
P/G22.4
PA/G24.2
Rank25
P/G18.0
PA/G22.5

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.17252.0132

Spencer Rattler

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.77207.084

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 9-24 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+240
W 19-30 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Mac Jones • TB: Baker Mayfield-185
W 38-35 at Seattle SeahawksTB: Baker Mayfield • SEA: Sam Darnold+170
L 31-25 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+180
W 27-29 vs New York JetsNYJ: Tyrod Taylor • TB: Baker Mayfield-290
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 14-26 at Chicago BearsNO: Spencer Rattler • CHI: Caleb Williams+180
L 25-19 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • NO: Spencer Rattler+160
W 14-26 vs New York GiantsNYG: Jaxson Dart • NO: Spencer Rattler-135
L 19-31 at Buffalo BillsNO: Spencer Rattler • BUF: Josh Allen+950
L 13-44 at Seattle SeahawksNO: Spencer Rattler • SEA: Sam Darnold+350

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DLGreg GainesProbable
  • RBBucky IrvingOut
  • LBLavonte DavidProbable
  • WRJalen McMillanIR
  • TLuke HaggardOut
  • SSebastian CastroProbable
  • SChristian IzienProbable
  • SRashad WisdomIR
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable
  • WRChris GodwinOut
  • WRMike EvansOut
  • GBen BredesonProbable
  • QBTeddy BridgewaterProbable
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Probable
  • DTVita VeaProbable
  • RBJosh WilliamsProbable
  • CBKindle VildorProbable
  • WREmeka EgbukaProbable
  • TEDevin CulpProbable
  • GLuke GoedekeIR
  • GMichael JordanProbable
  • DLC.J. BrewerProbable
  • LBHaason ReddickOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • OLErik McCoyOut for Season
  • TEJuwan JohnsonProbable
  • WRChris OlaveProbable
  • WRTrey PalmerIR
  • RBKendre MillerOut for Season
  • RBAlvin KamaraProbable
  • DEChase YoungProbable
  • DTJohn RidgewayProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-240-205-185-200-200-200-185-182.7
New Orleans+200+175+160+174+170+174+175+182.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-280-190-195-210-215-210-190-182.7
New Orleans+235+170+170+175+180+180+180+182.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-5½-105-3½-108-3½-110-3½-118-3½-105-3½-118-3½-105-3½-107
New Orleans+5½-115+3½-108+3½-110+3½-102+3½-115+3½-102+3½-102+3½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-5½-110-3½-110-3½-105-3½-105-3½-120-3½-108-3½-105-3½-107
New Orleans+5½-110+3½-110+3½-115+3½-115+3½+100+3½-108+3½+100+3½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½-110 to -3½-118
New Orleans Spread moved from +5-108 to +4-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½-110 to -3½-120
New Orleans Spread moved from +6-110 to +5-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-105o46-108o45½-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o45½-110o46+100
Underu47½-115u46-108u45½-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46-108u46+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o46-110o46-110o46½-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46+100
Underu47½-110u46-110u46-110u46½-110u46-110u46-110u46½-110u46+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-105 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110