New England at New Orleans

Updated

New England Patriots

(17-4)
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
67.6%32.4%
New England WinNew Orleans Win
24.3Projected Points 19.4
25Final Score 19

New Orleans Saints

(6-11)
Rank25
P/G18.0
PA/G22.5
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
Rank25
P/G18.0
PA/G22.5

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.95252.072

Spencer Rattler

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.25198.061

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 23-20 at Buffalo BillsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen+375
W 13-42 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • NE: Drake Maye-240
L 21-14 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Aaron Rodgers • NE: Drake Maye+102
W 33-27 at Miami DolphinsNE: Drake Maye • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+120
L 20-13 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • NE: Drake Maye-135
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 14-26 vs New York GiantsNYG: Jaxson Dart • NO: Spencer Rattler-135
L 19-31 at Buffalo BillsNO: Spencer Rattler • BUF: Josh Allen+950
L 13-44 at Seattle SeahawksNO: Spencer Rattler • SEA: Sam Darnold+350
L 26-21 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Mac Jones • NO: Spencer Rattler+140
L 20-13 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • NO: Spencer Rattler+240

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBAnfernee JenningsOut
  • RBAntonio GibsonOut for Season
  • SJaylinn HawkinsOut
  • DEMilton WilliamsProbable
  • DBCharles WoodsProbable
  • LBMarte MapuProbable
  • DTJoshua FarmerProbable
  • LBK'Lavon ChaissonProbable
  • DEKeion WhiteOut
  • CBChristian GonzalezProbable

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • SJulian BlackmonIR
  • DTJohn RidgewayProbable
  • CCesar RuizProbable
  • WRTrey PalmerIR
  • SJustin ReidProbable
  • TEJuwan JohnsonProbable
  • CBIsaac YiadomOut
  • RBAlvin KamaraProbable
  • DEChase YoungProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Adrian Hill
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-185-180-170-180-175-180-170-165.2
New Orleans+160+155+145+157+155+157+157+165.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-190-180-180-175-185-175-175-165.2
New Orleans+165+160+155+155+160+155+160+165.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-3-108-3-113-3-120-3-120-3-115-3-120-3-113-3-109
New Orleans+3-108+3-103+3+100+3+100+3-105+3+100+3+100+3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-3½-105-3-110-3-115-3-110-3½+100-3-116-3-110-3-109
New Orleans+3½-115+3-110+3-105+3-110+3½-120+3+100+3+100+3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 30.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -3½+102 to -3-123
No Steam Moves On New Orleans Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-110
No Steam Moves On New Orleans Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-108o46-108o45½-110o46-107o46-110o46-107o45½-110o46+103
Underu45½-108u46-108u45½-110u46-113u46-110u46-113u46-108u46-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46-110o46+103
Underu45-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46-110u46-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
No Steam Moves On Under
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