New England at Miami

Updated

New England Patriots

(11-2)
Rank9
P/G27.0
PA/G18.5
45.3%54.7%
New England WinMiami Win
20.4Projected Points 22.4
33Final Score 27

Miami Dolphins

(5-7)
Rank22
P/G20.6
PA/G23.8
Rank9
P/G27.0
PA/G18.5
Rank22
P/G20.6
PA/G23.8

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.21287.011

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.91114.012

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 20-13 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • NE: Drake Maye-135
W 16-23 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Joe Milton • NE: Drake Maye+155
L 40-7 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Drake Maye+264
L 21-24 at Buffalo BillsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen+875
L 17-30 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Drake Maye • ARI: Kyler Murray+250
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 8-33 at Indianapolis ColtsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • IND: Daniel Jones-104
L 20-32 at New York JetsMIA: Tyler Huntley • NYJ: Aaron Rodgers+115
W 20-3 at Cleveland BrownsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CLE: Dorian Thompson-Robinson-170
W 17-29 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+110
L 12-20 at Houston TexansMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • HOU: C.J. Stroud+140

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBJahlani TavaiIR
  • RBLan LarisonOut for Season
  • DEKeion WhiteOut
  • WRKayshon BoutteProbable
  • LBHarold Landry IIIProbable
  • -Morgan MosesProbable
  • DTIsaiah ItonOut for Season
  • DBCharles WoodsProbable
  • LBMarte MapuProbable
  • DBMarcellas Dial Jr.Out for Season
  • LBChristian EllissProbable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TLiam EichenbergIR
  • CBJason MaitreOut for Season
  • TAustin JacksonOut
  • WRJaylen WaddleProbable
  • DTBenito JonesOut
  • SAshtyn DavisProbable
  • CBEthan BonnerOut
  • OLAndrew MeyerIR
  • CBArtie BurnsIR
  • CBStorm DuckOut
  • -Germain IfediOut for Season
  • CBCam SmithIR
  • CBKader KohouOut for Season
  • TEJalin ConyersOut for Season
  • RBJaylen WrightOut
  • -Yodny CajusteOut for Season
  • -Bayron MatosOut for Season
  • GJames DanielsIR
  • TEDarren WallerOut
  • RBAlexander MattisonOut for Season
  • KJason SandersIR
WNW 1 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°87°88°87°
Humidity66%64%62%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 1 mphS 2 mphE 3 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+125+115+125+120+125+120+125+128.3
Miami-145-135-145-140-145-140-135-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-102+115+120+120+120+115+120+128.3
Miami-118-135-140-140-140-135-135-128.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+2½-105+2½-108+2½-110+2½-110+2½-115+2½-110+2½-108+2½+100
Miami-2½-115-2½-108-2½-110-2½-110-2½-105-2½-110-2½-105-2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+2½-110+2-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2-108+2½-110+2½+100
Miami-2½-110-2-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2-108-2-108-2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +2-105 to +1½-110
Miami Spread moved from -1-110 to -1-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110
Miami Spread moved from -1-110 to -2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o43-108o43-105o42½-112o42½-110o42½-112o42½-110o42½-102
Underu45½-110u43-108u43-115u42½-108u42½-110u42½-108u43-108u42½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o43-110o43½-110o43½-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o42½-102
Underu45½-110u43-110u43½-110u43½-110u43-110u43-110u43½-110u42½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-105
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110
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