Houston at Kansas City

Updated
Rank14
P/G22.0
PA/G21.4
22.4%77.6%
Houston WinKansas City Win
17.0Projected Points 26.2
14Final Score 23
Rank2
P/G23.1
PA/G20.4
Rank14
P/G22.0
PA/G21.4
Rank2
P/G23.1
PA/G20.4

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.217219.02012

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.516246.02611

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
W 12-32 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • HOU: C.J. Stroud+145
W 23-14 at Tennessee TitansHOU: C.J. Stroud • TEN: Will Levis+135
L 31-2 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+280
L 19-27 at Kansas City ChiefsHOU: C.J. Stroud • KC: Patrick Mahomes+170
W 12-20 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • HOU: C.J. Stroud-145
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 0-38 at Denver BroncosKC: Carson Wentz • DEN: Bo Nix+500
W 29-10 at Pittsburgh SteelersKC: Patrick Mahomes • PIT: Russell Wilson-125
W 19-27 vs Houston TexansHOU: C.J. Stroud • KC: Patrick Mahomes-180
W 21-7 at Cleveland BrownsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CLE: Jameis Winston-220
W 17-19 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-235

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • LBAzeez Al-ShaairProbable
  • WRRobert WoodsProbable
  • WRTank DellOut for Season
  • CJuice ScruggsOut
  • RBJoe MixonProbable
  • TETeagan QuitorianoOut
  • GShaq MasonProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRMecole Hardman Jr.Doubtful
  • DLChris JonesProbable
  • CBJaylen WatsonProbable
  • RBIsiah PachecoProbable
  • TJawaan TaylorProbable
N 15 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)26°25°24°23°
Humidity51%50%49%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindN 15 mphN 14 mphN 13 mphN 13 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+325+410+425+440+440+440+440+458.2
Kansas City-435-535-600-560-570-560-535-458.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+405+435+434+450+450+450+450+458.2
Kansas City-520-575-530-600-600-600-530-458.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+7½-110+9½-108+9½-110+9½-110+9½-110+9½-110+9½-108+9½+100
Kansas City-7½-110-9½-108-9½-110-9½-110-9½-110-9½-110-9½-108-9½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+23-110+9½-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+9½-105+9½-105+9½+100
Kansas City-23-110-9½-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-9½-105-9½-105-9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 20.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +9½-108 to +9½-118
Kansas City Spread moved from -9½+102 to -9½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 20.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +9½+100 to +9½-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +3-110 to -8½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o41½-108o42-105o41-115o41-110o41-115o41-110o41-104
Underu42-110u41½-108u42-115u41-105u41-110u41-105u41½-108u41+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o42-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41-104
Underu42½-110u42-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u42-110u41+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-115 to o42-105
The Under moved from u41½-105 to u42-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110