Miami at LA Chargers

Updated

Miami Dolphins

(11-7)
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2
59.1%40.9%
Miami WinLA Chargers Win
26.7Projected Points 23.5
17Final Score 23

Los Angeles Chargers

(5-12)
Rank24
P/G20.4
PA/G23.4
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2
Rank24
P/G20.4
PA/G23.4

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.110286.0215

Justin Herbert

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.712278.0207

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 17-33 at San Francisco 49ersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+228
W 15-30 vs Houston TexansHOU: Kyle Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-850
W 17-39 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Jacoby Brissett • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-170
W 35-32 at Chicago BearsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CHI: Justin Fields-180
W 31-27 at Detroit LionsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • DET: Jared Goff-190
Los Angeles Chargers
Money Line
L 20-27 at Las Vegas RaidersLAC: Justin Herbert • VEG: Derek Carr+132
W 25-24 at Arizona CardinalsLAC: Justin Herbert • ARI: Kyler Murray-140
L 30-27 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert+200
L 16-22 at San Francisco 49ersLAC: Justin Herbert • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+315
W 20-17 at Atlanta FalconsLAC: Justin Herbert • ATL: Marcus Mariota-136

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TAustin JacksonIR
  • RBMyles GaskinOut
  • QBTeddy BridgewaterOut
  • DEEmmanuel OgbahOut for Season

Los Angeles Chargers

Status
  • TTrey PipkinsOut
  • KDustin HopkinsIR
  • DTChristian CovingtonOut for Season
  • CBBryce CallahanOut
  • DLOtito OgbonniaOut for Season
  • SDerwin JamesOut
  • DLSebastian Joseph-DayOut
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-102-170-175-170-165-170-165-152.5
LA Chargers-118+150+150+150+145+150+150+152.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-155-175-165-170-165-170-165-152.5
LA Chargers+135+155+146+150+145+150+155+152.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+1-110-3-108-3-120-3-117-3-115-3-117-3-108-3-104
LA Chargers-1-110+3-108+3+100+3-103+3-105+3-103+3+100+3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-115-3½-101-3-120-3-110-3-104
LA Chargers+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-105+3½-119+3+100+3+100+3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 20.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from -3-120 to -3-125
LA Chargers Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 20.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120
LA Chargers Spread moved from +3-105 to +3-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51½-110o55-108o55-110o55-110o55-110o55-110o55-108o55+100
Underu51½-110u55-108u55-110u55-110u55-110u55-110u55-108u55+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51-110o55-110o55-110o55-110o54½-110o55-110o54½-110o55+100
Underu51-110u55-110u55-110u55-110u54½-110u55-110u55-110u55+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-113 to o55-110
The Under moved from u55-108 to u54½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-110 to o55-110
The Under moved from u55½-110 to u55-110
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