Tampa Bay at San Francisco

Updated
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
40.9%59.1%
Tampa Bay WinSan Francisco Win
18.5Projected Points 21.7
7Final Score 35
Rank2
P/G28.6
PA/G18.8
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank2
P/G28.6
PA/G18.8

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.212278.0163

Brock Purdy

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.0069.022

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 16-17 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Andy Dalton • TB: Tom Brady-180
L 17-23 at Cleveland BrownsTB: Tom Brady • CLE: Jacoby Brissett-165
W 16-21 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Geno Smith • TB: Tom Brady-145
W 13-16 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • TB: Tom Brady-155
L 27-22 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • TB: Tom Brady-130
San Francisco 49ers
Money Line
W 17-33 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo-220
W 0-13 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Andy Dalton • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo-410
W 38-10 vs Arizona CardinalsSF: Jimmy Garoppolo • ARI: Colt McCoy-426
W 16-22 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo-355
W 31-14 at Los Angeles RamsSF: Jimmy Garoppolo • LAR: Matthew Stafford+100

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • CBSean Murphy-BuntingOut
  • TECameron BrateProbable
  • TTristan WirfsOut
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • RBLeonard FournetteProbable
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • DLAkiem HicksProbable

San Francisco 49ers

Status
  • RBElijah MitchellIR
  • QBJimmy GaroppoloIR
  • DLHassan RidgewayOut
  • DBTarvarius MooreOut
  • DENick BosaProbable
  • RBChristian McCaffreyProbable
  • QBBrock PurdyUnknown
  • WRDeebo SamuelProbable
SSW 7 mph
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)53°53°51°51°
Humidity61%62%66%74%
Precipitation22%28%44%60%
ConditionMostly CloudyPossible DrizzlePossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindSSW 7 mphS 7 mphS 7 mphS 7 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+185+170+150+170+160+170+170+168.8
San Francisco-225-195-175-195-185-195-175-168.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+135+170+164+165+160+165+170+168.8
San Francisco-155-190-186-185-180-185-180-168.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+5-110+3+102+3½-120+3½-119+3½-115+3½-119+3½-115+3½-104
San Francisco-5-110-3-118-3½+100-3½-101-3½-105-3½-101-3½+100-3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+3½-110+3½-110+3-105+3+105+3½-115+3½-120+3½-110+3½-104
San Francisco-3½-110-3½-110-3-115-3-125-3½-105-3½+100-3-115-3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
San Francisco: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +6½-110 to +3-110
San Francisco Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
San Francisco: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread
San Francisco Spread moved from -3-120 to -3-125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o38½-108o38½-110o38½-112o39-110o38½-112o38½-108o39+100
Underu41½-110u38½-108u38½-110u38½-108u39-110u38½-108u39-110u39+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o38-110o38½-110o38½-110o38-110o38-110o38-110o39+100
Underu39-110u38-110u38½-110u38½-110u38-110u38-110u38½-110u39+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o38½-110 to o39-110
The Under moved from u38½-110 to u38-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-110 to o38½-110
The Under moved from u37½-110 to u37-110