Denver at Las Vegas

Updated

Denver Broncos

(15-4)
Rank5
P/G23.2
PA/G18.5
77.9%22.1%
Denver WinLas Vegas Win
26.0Projected Points 16.4
24Final Score 17

Las Vegas Raiders

(3-14)
Rank32
P/G14.2
PA/G25.4
Rank5
P/G23.2
PA/G18.5
Rank32
P/G14.2
PA/G25.4

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.612228.0199

Geno Smith

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.312211.01514

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 27-26 at Washington CommandersDEN: Bo Nix • WAS: Marcus Mariota-280
W 19-22 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Bo Nix+195
W 7-10 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • DEN: Bo Nix-400
W 18-15 at Houston TexansDEN: Bo Nix • HOU: C.J. Stroud+120
W 24-44 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • DEN: Bo Nix-190
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
L 14-31 at Los Angeles ChargersVEG: Geno Smith • LAC: Justin Herbert+425
L 24-10 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Shedeur Sanders • VEG: Geno Smith-157
L 33-16 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • VEG: Geno Smith+175
L 7-10 at Denver BroncosVEG: Geno Smith • DEN: Bo Nix+390
L 30-29 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • VEG: Geno Smith+110

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • DTD.J. JonesOut
  • DEZach AllenProbable
  • LBKarene ReidIR
  • WRPat BryantProbable
  • TENate AdkinsOut
  • LBJonah EllissProbable
  • RBJ.K. DobbinsIR

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • DEMaxx CrosbyProbable
  • GDylan ParhamProbable
  • OLJordan MeredithProbable
  • WRDont'e Thornton Jr.Out
  • TEMichael MayerOut
  • LBJamal AdamsProbable
  • GJackson Powers-JohnsonIR
  • SJeremy ChinnProbable
  • WRAlex BachmanOut
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver-440-400-400-430-420-430-400-354.5
Las Vegas+330+320+300+337+320+337+337+354.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver-420-450-420-450-445-420-420-354.5
Las Vegas+340+350+340+350+350+350+350+354.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver-7½-110-7½-105-7½-115-8½-104-8-105-8½-104-7½-105-8½+105
Las Vegas+7½-110+7½-106+7½-105+8½-116+8-115+8½-116+7½-105+8½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver-7½-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-8-108-8-108-8½+105
Las Vegas+7½-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-108+8-108+8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 20.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from -7½-105 to -7½-115
No Steam Moves On Las Vegas Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from -7½+100 to -7½-108
No Steam Moves On Las Vegas Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39½-110o40½-108o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-108o40½+100
Underu39½-110u40½-105u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-105u40½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½+100
Underu40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41+101
The Under moved from u40½-104 to u40½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41-110 to u40½-110
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