Denver at Miami

Updated
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3
34.1%65.9%
Denver WinMiami Win
18.5Projected Points 22.8
20Final Score 70
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3
Rank7
P/G27.9
PA/G23.2

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.2210.851

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.3214.642

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 35-33 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Sam Howell • DEN: Russell Wilson-185
L 17-16 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • DEN: Russell Wilson-160
W 28-31 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • DEN: Russell Wilson-275
L 24-27 at Kansas City ChiefsDEN: Russell Wilson • KC: Patrick Mahomes+650
L 14-51 at Los Angeles RamsDEN: Russell Wilson • LAR: Baker Mayfield-170
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 24-17 at New England PatriotsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones-118
W 36-34 at Los Angeles ChargersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • LAC: Justin Herbert+146
L 31-34 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Skylar Thompson • BUF: Josh Allen+800
W 6-11 vs New York JetsNYJ: Joe Flacco • MIA: Skylar Thompson-210
L 21-23 at New England PatriotsMIA: Teddy Bridgewater • NE: Mac Jones+145

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • DEFrank ClarkOut
  • DLMike PurcellProbable
  • SCaden SternsOut for Season
  • TEGreg DulcichOut
  • SJustin SimmonsOut

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • RBJeff Wilson Jr.IR
  • LBJaelan PhillipsProbable
  • DTRaekwon DavisProbable
  • TEJulian HillProbable
  • DBElijah CampbellProbable
  • TETyler KroftProbable
  • WRJaylen WaddleOut
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • RBSalvon AhmedDoubtful
ESE 6 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)88°89°88°88°
Humidity64%63%63%64%
Precipitation25%25%9%26%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindESE 6 mphESE 7 mphESE 8 mphESE 8 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+265+225+230+217+227+217+230+228.2
Miami-330-275-280-257-275-257-257-228.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+240+220+224+215+235+220+235+228.2
Miami-305-260-260-267-275-270-260-228.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+6-108+6-108+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-108+6+100
Miami-6-108-6-108-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-108-6+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6+100
Miami-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6+100

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Denver: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +6+110 to +6-110
Miami Spread moved from -6-110 to -7-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Denver: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +6½-110 to +6-110
No Steam Moves On Miami Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-108o47½-108o47½-105o47-115o47-110o47-115o47½-105o47-104
Underu45-108u47½-108u47½-115u47-105u47-110u47-105u47½-108u47+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47½-110o47-110o47-104
Underu45½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o47-115
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47-110