Miami at Buffalo

Updated
Rank7
P/G37.5
PA/G29.8
18.9%81.1%
WinBuffalo Win
19.0Projected Points 31.0
31Final Score 34
Rank4
P/G34.8
PA/G13.8
Rank7
P/G37.5
PA/G29.8
Rank4
P/G34.8
PA/G13.8

Quarterbacks

Skylar Thompson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
54.1164.013

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.415269.03213

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 6-11 vs New York JetsNYJ: Joe Flacco • MIA: Skylar Thompson-210
L 21-23 at New England PatriotsMIA: Teddy Bridgewater • NE: Mac Jones+145
L 26-20 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-175
L 29-32 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+320
L 17-23 at Los Angeles ChargersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • LAC: Justin Herbert-165
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 23-35 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen-400
W 35-13 at Chicago BearsBUF: Josh Allen • CHI: Justin Fields-380
W 29-32 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-350
W 12-20 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-450
W 24-10 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-200

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TBrandon ShellOut
  • TLiam EichenbergOut
  • RBMyles GaskinIR
  • LBBradley ChubbProbable
  • WRCedrick WilsonProbable
  • RBRaheem MostertOut
  • QBTeddy BridgewaterProbable
  • QBTua TagovailoaOut
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • QBSkylar ThompsonNamed Starter

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • SJordan PoyerProbable
  • SDamar HamlinOut
  • DTJordan PhillipsOut
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieOut
NE 3 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)26°28°28°28°
Humidity81%79%79%79%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNE 3 mphNE 3 mphNE 4 mphNE 4 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+415+762+725+725+675+725+762+707.6
Buffalo-525-1250-1300-1150-1050-1150-1050-707.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+475+800+780+700+800+800+800+707.6
Buffalo-650-1400-1120-1100-1400-1400-1100-707.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+11-113+14-113+14-110+14-119+14-120+14-119+14-110+14-109
Buffalo-11-107-14-103-14-110-14-101-14+100-14-101-14+100-14+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+11-110+13½-110+14-115+14-110+14-110+13½-110+14-110+14-109
Buffalo-11-110-13½-110-14-105-14-110-14-110-13½-110-13½-110-14+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +14-108 to +13½-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -14-110 to -14-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +14-110 to +13½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -9½-110 to -12½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o44½-108o44½-115o44½-108o44-110o44½-108o44-110o44+100
Underu45½-110u44½-108u44½-105u44½-112u44-110u44½-112u44½-105u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o44½-110o44-110o44-110o44½-110o44½-110o44-110o44+100
Underu43½-110u44½-110u44-110u44-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o44½-115
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44½-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110