New England at Dallas

Updated

New England Patriots

(4-13)
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
29.4%70.6%
New England WinDallas Win
17.8Projected Points 24.5
3Final Score 38

Dallas Cowboys

(12-6)
Rank6
P/G30.1
PA/G20.2
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
Rank6
P/G30.1
PA/G20.2

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.839.252

Dak Prescott

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.639.431

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
L 24-17 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+115
L 25-20 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NE: Mac Jones+170
L 23-35 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+340
W 21-23 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Teddy Bridgewater • NE: Mac Jones-155
Dallas Cowboys
Money Line
L 16-28 at Arizona CardinalsDAL: Dak Prescott • ARI: Joshua Dobbs-625
W 10-30 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • DAL: Dak Prescott-365
W 40-0 at New York GiantsDAL: Dak Prescott • NYG: Daniel Jones-170
L 12-19 at San Francisco 49ersDAL: Dak Prescott • SF: Brock Purdy+170
W 31-14 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDAL: Dak Prescott • TB: Tom Brady-140

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • DBJonathan JonesOut
  • OLRiley ReiffIR
  • DBJack JonesIR
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • DBMarcus JonesIR
  • DTDaniel EkualeIR
  • OLSidy SowProbable
  • DTDavon GodchauxProbable
  • GCole StrangeOut

Dallas Cowboys

Status
  • CBTrevon DiggsOut for Season
  • TTyron SmithOut
  • GZack MartinProbable
  • CTyler BiadaszProbable
  • TEPeyton HendershotOut
AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+285+225+215+225+227+225+227+236.0
Dallas-370-275-260-265-275-265-260-236.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+235+220+230+222+230+230+230+236.0
Dallas-280-260-266-278-270-280-260-236.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+8-112+6-108+6-105+6-106+6-105+6-106+6-105+6+104
Dallas-8-108-6-108-6-115-6-114-6-115-6-114-6-108-6-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+7½-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6+104
Dallas-7½-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
New England: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dallas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Dallas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Dallas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 80.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Dallas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +6-105 to +6-113
No Steam Moves On Dallas Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dallas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Dallas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Dallas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Dallas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +6-110 to +5½-110
No Steam Moves On Dallas Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o43-108o43½-105o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-108o43+100
Underu42-110u43-108u43½-115u43-110u43-110u43-110u43½-115u43+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43+100
Underu43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43-115
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110
Las Vegas at LA Chargers
Arizona at San Francisco