New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
26.0%74.0%
New England WinBuffalo Win
18.1Projected Points 25.4
23Final Score 35
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
Rank29
P/G13.9
PA/G21.5
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.213212.0118

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.415269.03213

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 21-23 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Teddy Bridgewater • NE: Mac Jones-155
L 22-18 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • NE: Mac Jones+141
L 24-30 at Las Vegas RaidersNE: Mac Jones • VEG: Derek Carr+125
W 27-13 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Mac Jones • ARI: Kyler Murray-130
L 24-10 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones+180
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 35-13 at Chicago BearsBUF: Josh Allen • CHI: Justin Fields-380
W 29-32 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-350
W 12-20 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-450
W 24-10 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-200
W 28-25 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff-450

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • PJake BaileyOut for Season
  • TEJonnu SmithOut
  • LSJoe CardonaOut for Season
  • DBCody DavisOut for Season
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • DBJack JonesIR
  • WRTy MontgomeryOut for Season
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • WRNelson AgholorProbable
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable
  • DBMarcus JonesProbable
  • OLIsaiah WynnIR

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • SDamar HamlinOut
WSW 6 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)31°32°32°32°
Humidity82%81%81%84%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 6 mphSW 6 mphW 6 mphWNW 5 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+380+330+330+320+325+320+330+340.0
Buffalo-475-410-440-400-400-400-400-340.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+300+340+332+320+330+330+340+340.0
Buffalo-360-440-400-400-400-400-400-340.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+11-128+8-108+8-110+8-110+9½-120+8-110+9½-120+9½-109
Buffalo-11+108-8-108-8-110-8-110-9½+100-8-110-8-108-9½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+7½-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+7½-110+8-110+9½-109
Buffalo-7½-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-7½-110-7½-110-9½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +7-108 to +6½-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -9+105 to -9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On New England Spread
Buffalo Spread moved from -7-110 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o44½-108o44-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44-110o44½+100
Underu43-110u44½-108u44-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-108u44½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44½+100
Underu43-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44½-110
The Under moved from u44-107 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-110 to o44-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110