Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
18.1%81.9%
WinBuffalo Win
15.2Projected Points 27.8
18Final Score 24
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.2610.284

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.7710.6157

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 16-13 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Desmond Ridder • TB: Baker Mayfield-145
L 20-6 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
W 26-9 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Derek Carr+196
L 25-11 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+220
W 17-27 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Baker Mayfield-130
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 25-29 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-370
W 9-14 vs New York GiantsNYG: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
L 25-20 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • BUF: Josh Allen-240
W 20-48 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-145
W 37-3 at Washington CommandersBUF: Josh Allen • WAS: Sam Howell-220

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • RBChase EdmondsProbable
  • SKaevon MerriweatherOut
  • DTVita VeaOut
  • WRChris GodwinProbable
  • OLMatt FeilerOut
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DTEd OliverProbable
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteOut for Season
  • TEQuintin MorrisOut
  • LBMatt MilanoIR
  • TEDawson KnoxOut
  • DTDaQuan JonesIR
  • RBDamien HarrisIR
  • LBBaylon SpectorOut
SSW 8 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°64°64°64°
Humidity68%68%70%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSW 8 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 11 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+300+405+345+400+380+400+405+417.4
Buffalo-400-530-470-505-480-505-470-417.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+335+400+400+400+375+425+425+417.4
Buffalo-440-500-484-550-475-600-475-417.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+9-110+10-108+10-110+10-113+10-110+10-113+10-108+10-103
Buffalo-9-110-10-108-10-110-10-107-10-110-10-107-10-107-10+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+9-110+10-110+10-115+10-110+9½-110+10-110+10-110+10-103
Buffalo-9-110-10-110-10-105-10-110-9½-110-10-110-9½-110-10+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +10-110 to +10-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -9-108 to -10-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +10-110 to +10-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -9½-110 to -10-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o43-108o42½-110o43-105o43-110o43-105o42½-110o43+104
Underu42-110u43-108u42½-110u43-115u43-110u43-115u43-108u43-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43+104
Underu42-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-108 to o43-108
The Under moved from u43-110 to u43-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110