New Orleans at Indianapolis

Updated

New Orleans Saints

(9-8)
Rank16
P/G23.6
PA/G19.2
53.4%46.6%
New Orleans WinIndianapolis Win
20.9Projected Points 19.4
38Final Score 27

Indianapolis Colts

(9-8)
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
Rank16
P/G23.6
PA/G19.2
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4

Quarterbacks

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.979.864

Gardner Minshew II

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.2311.354

Last 5 Games

New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 31-24 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NO: Derek Carr-138
L 13-20 at Houston TexansNO: Derek Carr • HOU: C.J. Stroud-126
W 34-0 at New England PatriotsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones+115
L 26-9 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Derek Carr-215
L 17-18 at Green Bay PackersNO: Derek Carr • GB: Jordan Love-120
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 39-38 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • IND: Gardner Minshew II+165
L 20-37 at Jacksonville JaguarsIND: Gardner Minshew II • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+173
W 16-23 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • IND: Anthony Richardson+127
L 29-23 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • IND: Anthony Richardson+105
W 22-19 at Baltimore RavensIND: Gardner Minshew II • BAL: Lamar Jackson+320

Injuries

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • LBDemario DavisProbable
  • TAndrus PeatProbable
  • SMarcus MayeProbable
  • QBTaysom HillProbable
  • DBJ.T. GrayProbable
  • GMax GarciaProbable
  • TRyan RamczykProbable
  • STyrann MathieuProbable
  • TJames HurstOut
  • WRJuwan JohnsonProbable
  • CBAlontae TaylorProbable
  • TEJimmy GrahamOut
  • WRMichael ThomasProbable
  • TLandon YoungProbable

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • DTEric JohnsonOut
  • DTGrover StewartOut
  • TEKylen GransonOut
  • GBraden SmithOut
  • QBAnthony RichardsonOut for Season
  • RBZack MossProbable
  • CBTony BrownProbable
  • CBJuJu BrentsOut
NNE 6 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)53°53°53°54°
Humidity91%89%88%88%
Precipitation0%23%43%34%
ConditionCloudyCloudyDrizzleDrizzle
WindNNE 6 mphN 5 mphN 5 mphN 6 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+105-140-140-143-140-143-140-131.2
Indianapolis-125+120+120+123+120+123+123+131.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans-125-145-130-135-135-130-130-131.2
Indianapolis+105+125+112+115+115+110+125+131.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+1-110-2½-108-2½-110-2-114-2-115-2-114-2-114-2-104
Indianapolis-1-110+2½-108+2½-110+2-106+2-105+2-106+2½-108+2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans-1½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-104
Indianapolis+1½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2½-110+2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from -1½-105 to -2-110
Indianapolis Spread moved from +2½-105 to +2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110
Indianapolis Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41-110o43½-108o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o43½-108o44+100
Underu41-110u43½-108u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o43½-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o43½-110o44+100
Underu40-110u43½-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44-115
The Under moved from u44-105 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-110 to o44-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u39-110
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