Kansas City at Denver

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(15-6)
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
89.3%10.7%
Kansas City WinWin
31.8Projected Points 12.8
43Final Score 16

Denver Broncos

(8-9)
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.86283.0151

Drew Lock

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
53.23142.012

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 26-17 at Buffalo BillsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-240
L 40-32 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-490
W 10-26 vs New England PatriotsNE: Brian Hoyer • KC: Patrick Mahomes-600
W 34-20 at Baltimore RavensKC: Patrick Mahomes • BAL: Lamar Jackson+160
W 23-20 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Tyrod Taylor-375
Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 18-12 at New England PatriotsDEN: Drew Lock • NE: Cam Newton+290
W 37-28 at New York JetsDEN: Brett Rypien • NYJ: Sam Darnold+100
L 28-10 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • DEN: Jeff Driskel+230
L 21-26 at Pittsburgh SteelersDEN: Drew Lock • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+250
L 16-14 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • DEN: Drew Lock+160

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • TMitchell SchwartzOut
  • WRSammy WatkinsOut
  • GKelechi OsemeleUnknown
  • FBAnthony ShermanOut
  • RBLe'Veon BellProbable
  • DTKhalen SaundersProbable
  • DEAlex OkaforUnknown
  • DETaco CharltonOut
  • DEMichael DannaUnknown
  • SL'Jarius SneedOut

Denver Broncos

Status
  • DLJurrell CaseyOut for Season
  • LBJeremiah AttaochuOut
  • TEJake ButtOut
  • WRDiontae SpencerOut
  • DEDre'Mont JonesProbable
  • WRKJ HamlerProbable
  • CBA.J. BouyeProbable
  • LBJosh WatsonProbable
  • TElijah WilkinsonUnknown
  • LBAustin CalitroUnknown
  • RBLeVante BellamyUnknown
  • FBAndrew BeckOut
  • OLDalton RisnerProbable
  • TENoah FantProbable
  • RBMelvin Gordon IIIProbable
NW 10 mph
Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)15°14°16°17°
Humidity78%83%80%77%
Precipitation31%35%38%38%
ConditionSnowSnowSnowSnow
WindNW 10 mphNW 10 mphN 10 mphNNE 9 mph
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-475-350-327-320-330-327-320-
Denver+380+275+272+260+265+272+275-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-500-360-320-330-390-340-320-
Denver+400+300+272+270+295+280+300-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-9½-110-7-110-7+100-7½+120-7-104-7+100-7½+120-
Denver+9½-110+7-110+7-120+7½-140+7-114+7-120+7-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-10-110-7-110-7+100-7-110-7-120-7-110-7+100-
Denver+10-110+7-110+7-120+7-110+7+100+7-110+7-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 60.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -7½-109 to -8-109
Denver Spread moved from +7+100 to +7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 60.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -7+100 to -7-110
Denver Spread moved from +7-110 to +7-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o46-110o46-112o46-110o46-109o46-112o46-109-
Underu49½-110u46-110u46-108u46-110u46-109u46-108u46-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o46-110o46½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110-
Underu48-110u46-110u46½-110u46-110u45½-110u45½-110u46½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-109 to o46-109
The Under moved from u45½-105 to u46-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110
Tampa Bay at Las Vegas
San Francisco at New England