Denver at Buffalo

Updated
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3
23.6%76.4%
Denver WinBuffalo Win
16.2Projected Points 24.5
24Final Score 22
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.1810.5164

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.3910.5189

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 9-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Russell Wilson+277
W 17-19 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • DEN: Russell Wilson-115
L 8-19 at Kansas City ChiefsDEN: Russell Wilson • KC: Patrick Mahomes+505
L 31-21 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • DEN: Russell Wilson-130
W 31-28 at Chicago BearsDEN: Russell Wilson • CHI: Justin Fields-155
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 18-24 at Cincinnati BengalsBUF: Josh Allen • CIN: Joe Burrow+110
W 18-24 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen-475
L 25-29 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-370
W 9-14 vs New York GiantsNYG: Tyrod Taylor • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
L 25-20 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • BUF: Josh Allen-240

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • WRBrandon JohnsonIR
  • CBKareem JacksonOut
  • TEGreg DulcichIR

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTerrel BernardProbable
  • TEDawson KnoxOut
  • CBKaiir ElamIR
  • DELeonard FloydProbable
  • LBBaylon SpectorOut
  • CBChristian BenfordOut
  • RBDamien HarrisIR
  • SMicah HydeOut
  • WRStefon DiggsProbable
  • SJordan PoyerProbable
  • LBA.J. KleinProbable
W 7 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)46°45°44°43°
Humidity73%74%76%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 7 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 10 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+340+310+295+305+290+305+310+319.7
Buffalo-460-390-390-375-370-375-370-319.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+345+320+320+300+315+300+320+319.7
Buffalo-455-380-380-385-380-400-380-319.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+9-110+7½-108+7½-110+7½-105+7½-110+7½-105+7½-105+7½+104
Buffalo-9-110-7½-108-7½-110-7½-115-7½-110-7½-115-7½-108-7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+9½-110+7½-110+7½-115+7½-110+7½-110+7½-110+7½-110+7½+104
Buffalo-9½-110-7½-110-7½-105-7½-110-7½-110-7½-110-7½-105-7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +9-108 to +8-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -7½-110 to -7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +7-105 to +7-120
Buffalo Spread moved from -7½+100 to -7½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o47½-108o47½-115o47½-113o47½-110o47½-113o47½-108o47½-103
Underu46-110u47½-108u47½-105u47½-107u47½-110u47½-107u47½-105u47½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o47-110o47½-110o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47½-103
Underu45½-110u47-110u47½-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o47½-115
The Under moved from u48-108 to u47½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47½-110