Pittsburgh at Cleveland

Updated
Rank15
P/G17.8
PA/G19.7
51.8%48.2%
Pittsburgh WinCleveland Win
21.3Projected Points 20.4
10Final Score 13
Rank8
P/G22.8
PA/G22.6
Rank15
P/G17.8
PA/G19.7
Rank8
P/G22.8
PA/G22.6

Quarterbacks

Kenny Pickett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.3910.464

Deshaun Watson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.4610.674

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
W 19-23 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • PIT: Kenny Pickett-165
W 16-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • PIT: Kenny Pickett-165
L 20-10 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • PIT: Kenny Pickett+120
W 24-17 at Los Angeles RamsPIT: Kenny Pickett • LAR: Matthew Stafford+155
W 10-17 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • PIT: Kenny Pickett+197
Cleveland Browns
Money Line
W 33-31 at Baltimore RavensCLE: Deshaun Watson • BAL: Lamar Jackson+237
W 0-27 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Clayton Tune • CLE: Deshaun Watson-725
L 20-24 at Seattle SeahawksCLE: P.J. Walker • SEA: Geno Smith+175
W 39-38 at Indianapolis ColtsCLE: Deshaun Watson • IND: Gardner Minshew II-175
W 17-19 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • CLE: P.J. Walker+425

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • LBKwon AlexanderOut for Season
  • DTMontravius AdamsOut
  • LBCole HolcombIR
  • SKeanu NealIR
  • TEPat FreiermuthProbable
  • SMinkah FitzpatrickOut

Cleveland Browns

Status
  • SJuan ThornhillOut
  • GWyatt TellerProbable
  • DBDenzel WardProbable
  • GMichael DunnProbable
  • TJedrick Wills Jr.IR
  • DBD'Anthony BellProbable
  • WRMarquise GoodwinOut
  • OLDawand JonesProbable
  • QBDorian Thompson-RobinsonNamed Starter
  • QBDeshaun WatsonOut for Season
NW 10 mph
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)48°48°48°47°
Humidity71%68%66%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindNW 10 mphNW 9 mphNNW 8 mphNNW 7 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-105+120+125+126+120+126+126+134.1
Cleveland-115-140-145-146-140-146-140-134.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+170+120+120+118+115+115+120+134.1
Cleveland-205-140-138-140-135-135-135-134.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+4½-108+2½-108+2½-105+2½-108+2-105+2½-108+2½-105+2½+102
Cleveland-4½-108-2½-108-2½-115-2½-112-2-115-2½-112-2½-108-2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+3½-110+2-110+2-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½+102
Cleveland-3½-110-2-110-2-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2-110-2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +2-110 to +1-110
Cleveland Spread moved from -1-108 to -2-108

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110
Cleveland Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38-108o34-108o34½-110o34½-110o34-110o34½-110o34-108o34½+100
Underu38-108u34-108u34½-110u34½-110u34-110u34½-110u34½-110u34½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo37-110o34-110o34-110o34-110o34½-110o34-110o34-110o34½+100
Underu37-110u34-110u34-110u34-110u34½-110u34-110u34½-110u34½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o34-110 to o34-115
The Under moved from u34-105 to u34-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o34½-110 to o35-110
The Under moved from u34½-110 to u34-110