Tampa Bay at Detroit

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(10-9)
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
76.0%24.0%
Tampa Bay WinDetroit Win
30.4Projected Points 22.2
47Final Score 7

Detroit Lions

(14-6)
Rank5
P/G27.4
PA/G23.8
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank5
P/G27.4
PA/G23.8

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.114278.03211

Matthew Stafford

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.214270.0239

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 31-27 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Matt Ryan-270
W 14-26 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • TB: Tom Brady-304
L 27-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady+170
L 27-24 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Jared Goff • TB: Tom Brady-200
W 46-23 at Carolina PanthersTB: Tom Brady • CAR: Teddy Bridgewater-260
Detroit Lions
Money Line
L 25-46 at Tennessee TitansDET: Matthew Stafford • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+350
L 31-24 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • DET: Matthew Stafford+350
W 34-30 at Chicago BearsDET: Matthew Stafford • CHI: Mitchell Trubisky+140
L 41-25 vs Houston TexansHOU: Deshaun Watson • DET: Matthew Stafford+150
L 0-20 at Carolina PanthersDET: Matthew Stafford • CAR: Phillip Walker-165

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • TDonovan SmithProbable
  • RBRonald Jones IIOut
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Probable
  • OLA.Q. ShipleyIR
  • WRCyril GraysonIR
  • CBCarlton DavisDoubtful

Detroit Lions

Status
  • CBJeffrey OkudahOut for Season
  • TTyrell CrosbyOut
  • QBMatthew StaffordProbable
  • DTDanny SheltonProbable
  • WRKenny GolladayOut
  • CBDesmond TrufantIR
  • TTaylor DeckerProbable
  • KMatt PraterProbable
  • CBDarryl RobertsProbable
  • DEJulian OkwaraProbable
  • THalapoulivaati VaitaiProbable
  • LBJamie Collins Sr.Out
  • OLFrank RagnowOut
  • DEDa'Shawn HandIR
  • SJayron KearseOut
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-330-700-650-630-660-650-630-
Detroit+270+450+500+465+485+500+500-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-390-700-660-700-700-700-660-
Detroit+325+500+520+500+500+500+520-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-7½+100-12-115-12-115-13½+105-12-109-12-115-13½+105-
Detroit+7½-120+12-105+12-105+13½-125+12-109+12-105+12-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-7½-110-12-110-12-110-12-110-12½-110-12-110-12-110-
Detroit+7½-110+12-110+12-110+12-110+12½-110+12-110+12½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 60.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -12½+107 to -13½+105
Detroit Spread moved from +10-109 to +9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 60.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -11-110 to -12-110
Detroit Spread moved from +10-110 to +9½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo54-110o55½-105o55-107o55-110o55-109o55-107o55-107-
Underu54-110u55½-115u55-113u55-110u55-109u55-113u55½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo54-110o55½-110o55-105o55½-110o55½-110o55-110o55-105-
Underu54-110u55½-110u55-115u55½-110u55½-110u55-110u55½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55-115 to o55½-110
The Under moved from u55-110 to u55-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55-110 to o55½-110
The Under moved from u56-110 to u55½-110
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