Buffalo at Houston

Updated
Rank4
P/G30.5
PA/G20.6
50.1%49.9%
Buffalo WinHouston Win
22.1Projected Points 22.0
20Final Score 23
Rank11
P/G23.7
PA/G22.2
Rank4
P/G30.5
PA/G20.6
Rank11
P/G23.7
PA/G22.2

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.34203.570

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.64263.562

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 10-35 at Baltimore RavensBUF: Josh Allen • BAL: Lamar Jackson+135
W 10-47 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • BUF: Josh Allen-220
W 31-10 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+125
W 28-34 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • BUF: Josh Allen-290
L 27-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-145
Houston Texans
Money Line
W 20-24 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: C.J. Stroud-250
L 7-34 at Minnesota VikingsHOU: C.J. Stroud • MIN: Sam Darnold-120
W 13-19 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Caleb Williams • HOU: C.J. Stroud-280
W 29-27 at Indianapolis ColtsHOU: C.J. Stroud • IND: Anthony Richardson-160
L 10-34 at Baltimore RavensHOU: C.J. Stroud • BAL: Lamar Jackson+400

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRKhalil ShakirOut
  • DTAustin JohnsonOut
  • LBVon MillerOut
  • DTEd OliverOut
  • OLTylan GrableIR
  • CBTaron JohnsonOut
  • STaylor RappOut
  • QBJosh AllenProbable
  • TDion DawkinsProbable
  • LBTerrel BernardProbable

Houston Texans

Status
  • TTytus HowardOut
  • SJimmie WardProbable
  • DEDerek BarnettOut
  • DLKurt HinishOut
  • CBJeff OkudahIR
  • WRTank DellProbable
  • DEDylan HortonProbable
  • DEJerry HughesOut
  • TEBrevin JordanOut for Season
  • TLaremy TunsilProbable
  • RBJoe MixonOut
  • LBJake HansenQuestionable
  • WRRobert WoodsProbable
  • LBAzeez Al-ShaairProbable
  • RBDameon PierceOut
NE 9 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°89°90°91°
Humidity57%54%51%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNE 9 mphNE 10 mphNE 10 mphNE 9 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-105+100+105+105+100+105+105+113.9
Houston-115-120-125-125-120-125-120-113.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-115+110+108+100+100+105+110+113.9
Houston-103-130-126-120-120-125-120-113.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+0-110+1-108+2-115+1-104+1-110+1-104+2-115+1+105
Houston+0-110-1-108-2-105-1-116-1-110-1-116-1-108-1-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-1-110+1½-110+1½-110+1-110+1-110+1½-108+1½-108+1+105
Houston+1-110-1½-110-1½-110-1-110-1-110-1½-108-1-110-1-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1½-115
Houston Spread moved from +1-110 to -1-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110
Houston Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o48-108o48-110o47½-115o47½-110o47½-115o47½-110o47½-104
Underu46½-110u48-108u48-110u47½-105u47½-110u47½-105u48-108u47½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o47½-110o48-110o48-110o47½-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-104
Underu46½-110u47½-110u48-110u48-110u47½-110u48-110u48-110u47½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-108 to o48-108
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
No Steam Moves On Under