Houston at Indianapolis

Updated
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
34.6%65.4%
Houston WinIndianapolis Win
18.9Projected Points 23.0
32Final Score 31
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4
Rank14
P/G22.7
PA/G21.1
Rank20
P/G23.3
PA/G24.4

Quarterbacks

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.214201.01413

Sam Ehlinger

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.12121.011

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
L 31-3 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Davis Mills+170
W 19-14 at Tennessee TitansHOU: Kyle Allen • TEN: Malik Willis+160
L 30-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • HOU: Kyle Allen+750
L 23-27 at Dallas CowboysHOU: Kyle Allen • DAL: Dak Prescott+1225
L 27-14 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • HOU: Kyle Allen+290
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 10-38 at New York GiantsIND: Nick Foles • NYG: Daniel Jones+215
L 20-3 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • IND: Nick Foles+170
L 36-39 at Minnesota VikingsIND: Matt Ryan • MIN: Kirk Cousins+185
L 19-54 at Dallas CowboysIND: Matt Ryan • DAL: Dak Prescott+470
L 24-17 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • IND: Matt Ryan-130

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • LBOgbonnia OkoronkwoQuestionable
  • WRJalen CampOut
  • DBSteven NelsonOut
  • WRNico CollinsOut for Season
  • TETeagan QuitorianoProbable
  • DBDerek Stingley Jr.IR
  • RBDameon PierceIR

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • CBIsaiah RodgersOut for Season
  • CBKenny Moore IIIR
  • QBNick FolesOut
  • RBJonathan TaylorOut for Season
  • CBStephon GilmoreOut
  • DEYannick NgakoueIR
  • WRAshton DulinProbable
  • CBBrandon FacysonOut
  • QBSam EhlingerNamed Starter
  • TEKylen GransonOut
NNE 4 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)36°37°37°37°
Humidity73%73%73%75%
Precipitation0%5%8%11%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNNE 4 mphN 5 mphN 5 mphNNW 5 mph
Jerome Boger
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+115+135+135+130+130+130+135+138.0
Indianapolis-135-155-160-150-150-150-150-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+135+125+125+125+125+130+130+138.0
Indianapolis-155-145-143-145-145-150-143-138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+1+105+3-113+3-115+3-117+3-120+3-117+3-113+3-109
Indianapolis-1-125-3-103-3-105-3-103-3+100-3-103-3+100-3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+2½-110+3-110+2½-105+3-120+2½-101+2½+100+3-110+3-109
Indianapolis-2½-110-3-110-2½-115-3+100-2½-119-2½-120-2½-115-3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Indianapolis Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 20.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-120
Indianapolis Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o37½-108o38-105o38-106o37½-110o38-106o37½-108o37½+100
Underu39-110u37½-108u38-115u38-114u37½-110u38-114u37½-108u37½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38½-110o37½-110o38-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½+100
Underu38½-110u37½-110u38-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u38-110u37½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o38-106 to o38-110
The Under moved from u38-108 to u37½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-110 to o38-110
The Under moved from u38-110 to u37½-110