Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated
Rank19
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0
39.3%60.7%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
19.7Projected Points 23.0
17Final Score 30
Rank18
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0
Rank19
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0
Rank18
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.616288.0249

Desmond Ridder

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.53161.000

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 24-30 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • TB: Tom Brady-185
W 19-16 at Arizona CardinalsTB: Tom Brady • ARI: Trace McSorley-350
L 34-23 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • TB: Tom Brady+160
L 7-35 at San Francisco 49ersTB: Tom Brady • SF: Brock Purdy+170
W 16-17 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Andy Dalton • TB: Tom Brady-180
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 19-20 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: David Blough • ATL: Desmond Ridder-290
L 9-17 at Baltimore RavensATL: Desmond Ridder • BAL: Tyler Huntley+245
L 18-21 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Desmond Ridder • NO: Andy Dalton+208
L 19-16 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • ATL: Marcus Mariota+110
L 13-19 at Washington CommandersATL: Marcus Mariota • WAS: Taylor Heinicke+178

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DECarl NassibOut
  • SLogan RyanOut
  • TDonovan SmithOut
  • CBCarlton DavisOut
  • TJosh WellsOut for Season
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • DTVita VeaOut
  • WRJulio JonesOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-102+210+210+212+215+212+215+226.3
Atlanta-118-260-250-252-255-252-250-226.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+260+200+232+200+220+210+232+226.3
Atlanta-320-240-270-240-260-250-240-226.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+0-102+6-108+6-115+6-110+6-110+6-110+6-108+6+100
Atlanta+0-118-6-108-6-105-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-105-6+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+7½-110+5½-110+6-110+5½-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+6+100
Atlanta-7½-110-5½-110-6-110-5½-110-6-110-6-110-5½-110-6+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5-110 to +3½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -5-108 to -6-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5-110 to +3½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -4½-110 to -5½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o40½-108o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-108o40½+100
Underu40-110u40½-108u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-108u40½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½+100
Underu38½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40½-110
The Under moved from u39½-110 to u39-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-110 to o40½-110
The Under moved from u41-110 to u40½-110