Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9
19.3%80.7%
WinTampa Bay Win
17.4Projected Points 29.1
15Final Score 21
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2

Quarterbacks

Marcus Mariota

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.72206.022

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.02201.021

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 20-23 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Jacoby Brissett • ATL: Marcus Mariota+100
W 27-23 at Seattle SeahawksATL: Marcus Mariota • SEA: Geno Smith+100
L 27-31 at Los Angeles RamsATL: Marcus Mariota • LAR: Matthew Stafford+425
L 27-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Jameis Winston • ATL: Marcus Mariota+205
L 30-20 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Taysom Hill • ATL: Matt Ryan+200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 41-31 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady-130
L 14-12 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • TB: Tom Brady-120
W 20-10 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-141
W 19-3 at Dallas CowboysTB: Tom Brady • DAL: Dak Prescott-130
L 30-27 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • TB: Tom Brady-142

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • TEKyle PittsOut
  • RBCordarrelle PattersonIR
  • DTVincent TaylorIR
  • RBDamien WilliamsIR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LBCam GillIR
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • WRBreshad PerrimanOut
  • QBTom BradyProbable
  • RBGiovani BernardIR
  • DLAkiem HicksOut
  • SLogan RyanOut
  • CBCarlton DavisProbable
  • TJosh WellsIR
  • WRJulio JonesOut
  • TECameron BrateOut
E 4 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°85°85°86°
Humidity62%58%54%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindE 4 mphENE 4 mphNE 6 mphNE 9 mph
Jerome Boger
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+325+420+390+375+390+375+420+396.5
Tampa Bay-425-545-550-465-490-465-465-396.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+280+360+385+400+365+400+400+396.5
Tampa Bay-330-460-465-500-460-500-460-396.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+9-108+10-108+10½-110+10-106+10-109+10-106+10½-110+11½-114
Tampa Bay-9-108-10-108-10½-110-10-114-10-109-10-114-10-108-11½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+7½-110+10-110+10-110+10-110+10-110+10-110+10-110+11½-114
Tampa Bay-7½-110-10-110-10-110-10-110-10-110-10-110-10-110-11½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +9½-104 to +9½-109
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -10-108 to -10½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -9½-110 to -10-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-108o46-108o46-110o46-115o46½-109o46-115o46½-105o46+100
Underu48-108u46-108u46-110u46-105u46½-109u46-105u46½-109u46+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46+100
Underu48-110u46½-110u46½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-105 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46½-108 to u46-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110