Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Updated

Kansas City Chiefs

(15-6)
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
49.0%51.0%
Kansas City WinTampa Bay Win
24.3Projected Points 24.7
41Final Score 31

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(10-9)
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.02298.070

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.02201.021

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 17-20 at Indianapolis ColtsKC: Patrick Mahomes • IND: Matt Ryan-210
W 24-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-200
W 44-21 at Arizona CardinalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ARI: Kyler Murray-250
L 27-24 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • KC: Patrick Mahomes-310
W 36-42 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-130
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 14-12 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • TB: Tom Brady-120
W 20-10 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-141
W 19-3 at Dallas CowboysTB: Tom Brady • DAL: Dak Prescott-130
L 30-27 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • TB: Tom Brady-142
W 15-31 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Tom Brady-330

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • KHarrison ButkerOut
  • WRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingProbable
  • WRJustyn RossIR
  • CBTrent McDuffieIR
  • RBRonald Jones IIProbable
  • TLucas NiangUnknown
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • TEBlake BellIR
  • DEMike DannaOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • RBKenjon BarnerIR
  • RBGiovani BernardIR
  • WRJulio JonesProbable
  • GNick LeverettIR
  • WRBreshad PerrimanDoubtful
  • DLAkiem HicksOut
  • TDonovan SmithProbable
  • OLRobert HainseyIR
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • TECade OttonProbable
  • WRChris GodwinProbable
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • LBCam GillIR
  • TJosh WellsIR
NNE 9 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°74°73°72°
Humidity61%64%68%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 9 mphNNE 8 mphNNW 6 mphNW 5 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-125+115+110+113+110+113+115+118.7
Tampa Bay+105-135-130-133-130-133-130-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-135+115+112+115+115+110+115+118.7
Tampa Bay+115-135-130-135-135-130-130-118.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-2-110+2-108+2-110+2-105+2-109+2-105+2-105+1+112
Tampa Bay+2-110-2-108-2-110-2-115-2-109-2-115-2-108-1-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-1½-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+1+112
Tampa Bay+1½-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-1-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Kansas City Spread
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +1-112 to +1-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Kansas City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o48-108o47½-110o47½-112o47½-109o47½-112o47½-109o47½+100
Underu48-110u48-108u47½-110u47½-108u47½-109u47½-108u48-108u47½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o48-110o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47-110o47½+100
Underu48-110u48-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47-110u48-110u47½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-108 to o48-108
The Under moved from u47-108 to u47-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45-110
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