Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank5
P/G29.2
PA/G22.5
49.0%51.0%
Kansas City WinTampa Bay Win
24.3Projected Points 24.7
41Final Score 31
Rank12
P/G18.1
PA/G18.2
Rank5
P/G29.2
PA/G22.5
Rank12
P/G18.1
PA/G18.2

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.02298.070

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.02201.021

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 17-20 at Indianapolis ColtsKC: Patrick Mahomes • IND: Matt Ryan-210
W 24-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-200
W 44-21 at Arizona CardinalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ARI: Kyler Murray-250
L 27-24 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • KC: Patrick Mahomes-310
W 36-42 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-130
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 14-12 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • TB: Tom Brady-120
W 20-10 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-141
W 19-3 at Dallas CowboysTB: Tom Brady • DAL: Dak Prescott-130
L 30-27 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • TB: Tom Brady-142
W 15-31 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Tom Brady-330

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • KHarrison ButkerOut
  • WRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingProbable
  • WRJustyn RossIR
  • CBTrent McDuffieIR
  • RBRonald Jones IIProbable
  • TLucas NiangUnknown
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • TEBlake BellIR
  • DEMike DannaOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • RBKenjon BarnerIR
  • RBGiovani BernardIR
  • WRJulio JonesProbable
  • GNick LeverettIR
  • WRBreshad PerrimanDoubtful
  • DLAkiem HicksOut
  • TDonovan SmithProbable
  • OLRobert HainseyIR
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • TECade OttonProbable
  • WRChris GodwinProbable
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • LBCam GillIR
  • TJosh WellsIR
NNE 9 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°74°73°72°
Humidity61%64%68%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 9 mphNNE 8 mphNNW 6 mphNW 5 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-125+115+110+113+110+113+115+118.7
Tampa Bay+105-135-130-133-130-133-130-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-135+115+112+115+115+110+115+118.7
Tampa Bay+115-135-130-135-135-130-130-118.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-2-110+2-108+2-110+2-105+2-109+2-105+2-105+1+112
Tampa Bay+2-110-2-108-2-110-2-115-2-109-2-115-2-108-1-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-1½-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+1+112
Tampa Bay+1½-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-1-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Kansas City Spread
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +1-112 to +1-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o48-108o47½-110o47½-112o47½-109o47½-112o47½-109o47½+100
Underu48-110u48-108u47½-110u47½-108u47½-109u47½-108u48-108u47½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o48-110o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47-110o47½+100
Underu48-110u48-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47-110u48-110u47½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-108 to o48-108
The Under moved from u47-108 to u47-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45-110