Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated
Rank12
P/G27.9
PA/G23.8
67.5%32.5%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
23.4Projected Points 18.5
51Final Score 27
Rank23
P/G22.3
PA/G22.5
Rank12
P/G27.9
PA/G23.8
Rank23
P/G22.3
PA/G22.5

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.54246.082

Spencer Rattler

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 30-36 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Kirk Cousins+130
W 16-33 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+100
L 26-7 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • TB: Baker Mayfield-250
W 20-16 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+320
W 20-37 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-195
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 13-26 at Kansas City ChiefsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes+200
L 24-26 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Kirk Cousins+126
L 15-12 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NO: Derek Carr-138
W 44-19 at Dallas CowboysNO: Derek Carr • DAL: Dak Prescott+255
W 10-47 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • NO: Derek Carr-185

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable
  • RBRachaad WhiteOut
  • LBSirVocea DennisIR
  • SJordan WhiteheadProbable
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Probable
  • WRTrey PalmerOut
  • WRKameron JohnsonOut
  • GLuke GoedekeProbable
  • SChristian IzienOut
  • WRJalen McMillanProbable
  • DLCalijah KanceyProbable
  • LSEvan DeckersIR
  • CGraham BartonOut
  • DLEarnest Brown IVOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • DBWill HarrisIR
  • QBTaysom HillOut
  • DEPayton TurnerProbable
  • WRRashid ShaheedProbable
  • RBAlvin KamaraProbable
  • CShane LemieuxIR
  • OLLucas PatrickOut
  • LBPete WernerOut
  • QBSpencer RattlerNamed Starter
  • OLErik McCoyIR
  • QBDerek CarrOut
  • LBWillie GayProbable
  • RBKendre MillerProbable
  • CCesar RuizOut
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-130-190-180-180-190-180-180-167.1
New Orleans+110+165+155+160+165+160+165+167.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+112-180-180-185-180-180-180-167.1
New Orleans-130+160+160+165+160+160+165+167.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½-115-3½-108-3½-105-3½-105-3½+100-3½-105-3½+100-3½+104
New Orleans+1½-105+3½-108+3½-115+3½-115+3½-120+3½-115+3½-108+3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½+100-3½-110-3½-105-3½-110-3½-110-3½-106-3½-105-3½+104
New Orleans-2½-120+3½-110+3½-115+3½-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3-118 to -3½-108
No Steam Moves On New Orleans Spread

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-106
New Orleans Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-108

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o42½-108o42½-105o42½-112o42½-110o42½-112o42½-105o42½-102
Underu43½-110u42½-108u42½-115u42½-108u42½-110u42½-108u42½-108u42½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-102
Underu45½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-105 to o42-115
The Under moved from u42-105 to u42½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110