Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank29
P/G3.1
PA/G3.6
37.3%62.7%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
2.47Projected Goals 3.60
2Final Score 4
Rank3
P/G3.7
PA/G3.0
Rank29
P/G3.1
PA/G3.6
Rank3
P/G3.7
PA/G3.0

Goalies

Joseph Woll

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2513-7-40.9082.92

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3727-7-30.9192.11

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 5-2 at Edmonton OilersTOR: Anthony Stolarz • EDM: Connor Ingram+160
W 4-2 at Calgary FlamesTOR: Joseph Woll • CGY: Dustin Wolf-115
W 3-2 at Vancouver CanucksTOR: Joseph Woll • VAN: Nikita Tolopilo-150
L 2-5 at Seattle KrakenTOR: Anthony Stolarz • SEA: Joey Daccord-110
L 7-4 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • TOR: Joseph Woll-112
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Daniil Tarasov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-210
W 3-4 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Colten Ellis • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-190
W 5-6 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Jeremy Swayman • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-206
W 1-4 vs Winnipeg JetsWPG: Connor Hellebuyck • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-173
W 0-2 vs Utah MammothUTA: Karel Vejmelka • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-149

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMorgan RiellyProbable
  • CJohn TavaresProbable

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • CBrayden PointProbable
  • DMax CrozierOut for Season
  • DVictor HedmanProbable
  • CAnthony CirelliOut
  • LWNick PaulOut
  • DCharle-Edouard D'AstousProbable
  • DEmil LillebergProbable
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+195+194+190+187+180+187+194+195.9
Tampa Bay-235-222-230-215-220-215-215-195.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+200+190+180+180+190+173+190+195.9
Tampa Bay-245-220-202-220-230-193-193-195.9

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Toronto: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 30.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 40.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +195 to +185
Tampa Bay ML moved from -213 to -222

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +190 to +180
Tampa Bay ML moved from -215 to -230

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-125+1½-135+1½-138+1½-137+1½-135+1½-137+1½-135+1½-125
Tampa Bay-1½+105-1½+119-1½+117-1½+117-1½+115-1½+117-1½+119-1½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-125+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-125
Tampa Bay-1½+105-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+110o6-111o6-110o6-103o6-110o6-103o6-103o6+105
Underu6½-130u6-103u6-110u6-113u6-110u6-113u6-103u6-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6-105o6-115o6-115o6-120o6-115o6-105o6+105
Underu6-105u6-115u6-105u6-105u6+100u6-105u6+100u6-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6-101 to u6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+105 to o6-120
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-120