Montreal at Buffalo

Updated
Rank28
P/G2.9
PA/G3.5
56.1%43.9%
Montreal WinBuffalo Win
3.12Projected Goals 2.46
1Final Score 4

Buffalo Sabres

(39-37-6)
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0
Rank28
P/G2.9
PA/G3.5
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0

Goalies

Sam Montembeault

StartsRecordSV%GAA
41-3-10.8973.58

Dustin Tokarski

StartsRecordSV%GAA
103-4-20.9043.26

Last 5 Games

Montreal Canadiens
Money Line
L 3-6 at Washington CapitalsMTL: Jake Allen • WSH: Ilya Samsonov+175
W 3-6 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Juuse Saros • MTL: Sam Montembeault+107
L 6-0 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Tristan Jarry • MTL: Cayden Primeau+134
L 2-3 at New York RangersMTL: Cayden Primeau • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+170
L 2-5 at Boston BruinsMTL: Sam Montembeault • BOS: Jeremy Swayman+215
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Jeremy Swayman • BUF: Aaron Dell+225
L 7-4 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Joonas Korpisalo • BUF: Dustin Tokarski+119
L 4-5 at New York RangersBUF: Aaron Dell • NYR: Alexandar Georgiev+210
L 5-0 vs Calgary FlamesCGY: Jacob Markstrom • BUF: Dustin Tokarski+164
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PenguinsBUF: Dustin Tokarski • PIT: Tristan Jarry+211

Injuries

Montreal Canadiens

Status
  • LWMichael PezzettaQuestionable
  • DBrett KulakOut
  • DMattias NorlinderQuestionable
  • LWMathieu PerreaultIR
  • LWMike HoffmanIR

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GOCraig AndersonOut
  • LWDrake CaggiulaOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Montreal-110-115-113-118-120-113-113-102.8
Buffalo-110-105+102-102+100+102+102+102.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Montreal-100-120-114-120-120-115-114-102.8
Buffalo-120+100+104+100+100+105+105+102.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Montreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Montreal: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Montreal: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Montreal ML moved from -110 to -120
Buffalo ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Montreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Montreal: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Montreal: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Montreal ML moved from -100 to -120
Buffalo ML moved from +113 to +106

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Montreal-1½+235-1½+220-1½+220-1½+215-1½+220-1½+220-1½+220-1½+236
Buffalo+1½-275+1½-270+1½-260+1½-255+1½-270+1½-260+1½-255+1½-236
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Montreal-1½+220-1½+220-1½+226-1½+220-1½+220-1½+220-1½+226-1½+236
Buffalo+1½-250+1½-260+1½-262+1½-250+1½-260+1½-250+1½-250+1½-236

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5½-120o6-115o6-107o6-115o6-110o6-107o6-107o6-102
Underu5½+100u6-105u6-103u6-105u6-110u6-103u6-103u6+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-105o6-110o6-120o5½-125o6-110o6-110o5½-125o6-102
Underu6-115u6-110u6+100u5½+105u6-110u6-110u6+100u6+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under