Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(50-26-6)
Rank3
P/G3.7
PA/G3.0
52.0%48.0%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
3.36Projected Goals 3.15
2Final Score 4

Buffalo Sabres

(50-23-9)
Rank4
P/G4.0
PA/G3.4
Rank3
P/G3.7
PA/G3.0
Rank4
P/G4.0
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
5437-13-40.9112.31

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3119-9-30.9092.57

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Jeremy Swayman • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-166
W 3-6 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Stuart Skinner • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-152
L 4-1 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Jakub Dobes • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-168
W 2-3 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Justus Annunen • TBL: Jonas Johansson-168
W 2-4 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: James Reimer • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-130
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 2-6 at Washington CapitalsBUF: Colten Ellis • WSH: Logan Thompson-109
L 1-4 at Ottawa SenatorsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • OTT: Linus Ullmark+102
W 3-4 vs New York IslandersNYI: Ilya Sorokin • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-164
W 2-3 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Philipp Grubauer • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-177
L 5-2 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: John Gibson • BUF: Alex Lyon-134

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWDominic JamesOut for Season
  • DVictor HedmanIR
  • LWBrandon HagelOut
  • DDeclan CarlileIR
  • RWScott SabourinQuestionable

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • CSam CarrickOut
  • CNoah OstlundQuestionable
  • CJiri KulichOut for Season
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-113-116-115-116-120-116-115-108.5
Buffalo-101+104-105+102+100+102+104+108.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-115-120-116-115-120-114-114-108.5
Buffalo-105+100+104-105+100+104+104+108.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -114 to -123
Buffalo ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -110 to -116
Buffalo ML moved from +106 to -102

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+215-1½+210-1½+210-1½+200-1½+210-1½+200-1½+210-1½+212
Buffalo+1½-260+1½-250+1½-250+1½-240+1½-250+1½-240+1½-240+1½-212
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+205-1½+200-1½+205-1½+190-1½+205-1½+205-1½+205-1½+212
Buffalo+1½-250+1½-240+1½-240+1½-240+1½-250+1½-240+1½-240+1½-212

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-108o6½-112o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-112o6½-106
Underu6½-108u6½-101u6½-105u6½-101u6½-105u6½-101u6½-101u6½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o6½-115o6½-120o6½-120o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-106
Underu6½-115u6½-105u6½+100u6½+100u6½-105u6½-105u6½+100u6½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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