Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated
Rank13
P/G3.5
PA/G3.3
42.6%57.4%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.70Projected Goals 3.49
7Final Score 3
Rank9
P/G3.7
PA/G3.2
Rank13
P/G3.5
PA/G3.3
Rank9
P/G3.7
PA/G3.2

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-210
L 4-7 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Brian Elliott • OTT: Cam Talbot-130
L 1-6 at New York IslandersTBL: Brian Elliott • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+152
L 3-6 at New York RangersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+113
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+197
W 2-1 at Florida PanthersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • FLA: Alex Lyon+131
W 1-7 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-350
L 1-2 at Boston BruinsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • BOS: Jeremy Swayman+131

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWTanner JeannotOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMark GiordanoProbable
  • DErik GustafssonQuestionable
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • CJohn TavaresProbable
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
  • CSam LaffertyProbable
  • CBobby McMannIR
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+136+144+135+144+137+144+144+150.2
Toronto-150-161-160-160-157-160-157-150.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+128+135+140+140+135+140+140+150.2
Toronto-140-155-154-165-155-155-154-150.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +138 to +127
Toronto ML moved from -154 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +140 to +133
Toronto ML moved from -152 to -162

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-195+1½-202+1½-195+1½-205+1½-200+1½-205+1½-195+1½-185
Toronto-1½+170-1½+178-1½+165-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+178-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-195+1½-185+1½-200+1½-185+1½-185
Toronto-1½+184-1½+175-1½+176-1½+162-1½+165-1½+175-1½+176-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-105o6-118o6-105o6-109o6-105o6-109o6-105o6-104
Underu6-105u6+102u6-115u6-101u6-115u6-101u6+102u6+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6+100o6+100o6-110o6-110o6+100o6+100o6+100o6-104
Underu6-120u6-120u6-110u6-110u6-120u6-120u6-110u6+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+111 to o6-115
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+100 to o6-110
No Steam Moves On Under