Toronto at Buffalo

Updated
Rank16
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3
54.3%45.7%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
3.28Projected Goals 2.82
3Final Score 5

Buffalo Sabres

(26-16-5)
Rank12
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
Rank16
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3
Rank12
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2

Goalies

Anthony Stolarz

StartsRecordSV%GAA
62-3-10.8943.01

Alex Lyon

StartsRecordSV%GAA
62-4-00.9242.55

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 5-2 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Jake Allen • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-112
L 4-3 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Joey Daccord • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-188
W 1-2 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-143
W 4-7 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Unknown • TOR: Unknown-172
L 3-2 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Unknown • TOR: Unknown-155
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: John Gibson • BUF: Colten Ellis-115
L 2-4 at Montreal CanadiensBUF: Alex Lyon • MTL: Jakub Dobes+130
W 0-3 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Sergei Bobrovsky • BUF: Alex Lyon+132
W 4-8 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Leevi Merilainen • BUF: Alex Lyon+100
L 3-1 vs Colorado AvalancheCOL: Unknown • BUF: Unknown+163

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMarshall RifaiIR
  • LWScott LaughtonIR
  • DChris TanevIR
  • DMorgan RiellyOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • RWCarson MeyerIR
  • DMichael KesselringIR
  • RWJustin DanforthIR
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenProbable
  • DJacob BrysonOut
  • LWJordan GreenwayIR
  • CJosh NorrisIR
  • LWJason ZuckerProbable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-126-120-128-119-120-119-119-111.4
Buffalo+111+104+107+105+100+105+107+111.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-125-125-121-120-125-119-119-111.4
Buffalo+105+105+109+100+105+109+109+111.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -122 to -128
Buffalo ML moved from +110 to +104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -121 to -128
Buffalo ML moved from +115 to +101

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+210-1½+193-1½+200-1½+209-1½+200-1½+209-1½+209-1½+221
Buffalo+1½-250+1½-222+1½-240+1½-252+1½-240+1½-252+1½-222+1½-221
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+185-1½+200-1½+200-1½+190-1½+200-1½+205-1½+205-1½+221
Buffalo+1½-220+1½-240+1½-235+1½-240+1½-245+1½-240+1½-235+1½-221

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+113o6-123o6½-103o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-111
Underu6½-130u6+107u6½-117u6+104u6+100u6+104u6+107u6+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+110o6-120o6-130o6-120o6-115o6-120o6-115o6-111
Underu6½-130u6+100u6+110u6+100u6-105u6+100u6+110u6+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-115 to o6-125
The Under moved from u6+105 to u6-105