Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(46-26-10)
Rank10
P/G3.8
PA/G3.4
43.5%56.5%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
2.92Projected Goals 3.63
4Final Score 6

Tampa Bay Lightning

(45-29-8)
Rank12
P/G3.7
PA/G3.5
Rank10
P/G3.8
PA/G3.4
Rank12
P/G3.7
PA/G3.5

Goalies

Martin Jones

StartsRecordSV%GAA
1811-7-10.9082.70

Matt Tomkins

StartsRecordSV%GAA
52-2-10.8910.89

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 2-5 at Florida PanthersTOR: Joseph Woll • FLA: Anthony Stolarz+151
L 5-4 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Alex Lyon • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-160
L 6-5 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Jake Allen • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-190
W 5-2 at New Jersey DevilsTOR: Joseph Woll • NJD: Jake Allen-131
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Alex Nedeljkovic • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-131
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Eric Comrie • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-165
L 2-4 at Washington CapitalsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • WSH: Charlie Lindgren-135
L 3-2 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Anton Forsberg • TBL: Matt Tomkins-161
W 2-5 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Jet Greaves • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-330
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PenguinsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • PIT: Alex Nedeljkovic-108

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMorgan RiellyOut
  • CAuston MatthewsProbable
  • DJake McCabeOut
  • DJoel EdmundsonOut
  • CMax DomiOut
  • CBobby McMannOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • GOJonas JohanssonOut
  • CLuke GlendeningOut
  • GOMatt TomkinsUnknown
  • CTyler MotteOut
  • DHaydn FleuryOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+110+103+100+102+100+102+103+108.0
Tampa Bay-130-119-120-115-120-115-115-108.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+105+102+103+115+115+106+115+108.0
Tampa Bay-125-122-113-135-135-116-113-108.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +113 to +106
Tampa Bay ML moved from -125 to -135

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Toronto: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 80.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +112 to +106
Tampa Bay ML moved from -133 to -145

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-225+1½-222+1½-230+1½-228+1½-225+1½-228+1½-222+1½-207
Tampa Bay-1½+185-1½+193-1½+190-1½+198-1½+185-1½+198-1½+198-1½+207
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-220+1½-200+1½-228+1½-200+1½-200+1½-230+1½-200+1½-207
Tampa Bay-1½+190-1½+175-1½+200-1½+170-1½+175-1½+195-1½+200-1½+207

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½-138o7+115o6½-135o6½-135o6½-135o6½-135o6½-125
Underu6½-120u6½+122u7-135u6½+117u6½+115u6½+117u7-135u6½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½-125o6½-140o6½-120o6½-120o6½-135o6½-120o6½-125
Underu6½-120u6½+105u6½+120u6½+100u6½+100u6½+115u6½+120u6½+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+102 to o6½-118
The Under moved from u6½-112 to u6½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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