Buffalo at Ottawa

Updated

Buffalo Sabres

(39-37-6)
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0
38.7%61.3%
Buffalo WinOttawa Win
2.42Projected Goals 3.50
0Final Score 5

Ottawa Senators

(37-41-4)
Rank24
P/G3.1
PA/G3.4
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0
Rank24
P/G3.1
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Aaron Dell

StartsRecordSV%GAA
81-7-10.8933.92

Matt Murray

StartsRecordSV%GAA
102-6-10.8943.36

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Philadelphia FlyersPHI: Martin Jones • BUF: Michael Houser+130
L 5-4 vs Dallas StarsDAL: Braden Holtby • BUF: Aaron Dell+200
W 3-1 at Ottawa SenatorsBUF: Michael Houser • OTT: Anton Forsberg+190
L 3-2 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Alex Nedeljkovic • BUF: Aaron Dell+135
L 0-4 at Detroit Red WingsBUF: Aaron Dell • DET: Alex Nedeljkovic+172
Ottawa Senators
Money Line
W 2-1 at Columbus Blue JacketsOTT: Anton Forsberg • CBJ: Elvis Merzlikins+120
L 2-3 at Washington CapitalsOTT: Matt Murray • WSH: Vitek Vanecek+185
L 4-6 at Pittsburgh PenguinsOTT: Anton Forsberg • PIT: Tristan Jarry+270
L 3-1 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Michael Houser • OTT: Anton Forsberg-210
W 6-4 at Edmonton OilersOTT: Matt Murray • EDM: Stuart Skinner+175

Injuries

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • RWKyle OkposoOut
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenIR
  • GOMalcolm SubbanOut for Season
  • LWVinnie HinostrozaOut
  • GODustin TokarskiIR
  • LWZemgus GirgensonsIR
  • DWill ButcherOut
  • RWJack QuinnOut
  • DColin MillerOut

Ottawa Senators

Status
  • DErik BrannstromIR
  • RWScott SabourinIR
  • RWConnor BrownIR
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+120+150+153+150+150+153+153+157.3
Ottawa-140-175-170-170-170-170-170-157.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+145+160+159+155+155+155+160+157.3
Ottawa-165-180-175-175-175-170-170-157.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ottawa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Ottawa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Ottawa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +160 to +150
Ottawa ML moved from -175 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ottawa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
Ottawa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Ottawa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Buffalo ML
Ottawa ML moved from -169 to -175

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-175+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-144
Ottawa-1½+155-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+144
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-170+1½-160+1½-153+1½-165+1½-165+1½-155+1½-153+1½-144
Ottawa-1½+150-1½+140-1½+134-1½+145-1½+145-1½+135-1½+145-1½+144

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-105o6½-105o6½+102o6½-105o6½-105o6½+102o6½+102o6½+109
Underu6-115u6½-115u6½-113u6½-115u6½-115u6½-113u6½-113u6½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½+109
Underu6-105u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-115 to o6-122
The Under moved from u6+115 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-115 to o6-125
No Steam Moves On Under