Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated
Rank2
P/G3.5
PA/G2.7
53.0%47.0%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
3.28Projected Goals 2.96
7Final Score 8

Buffalo Sabres

(38-19-6)
Rank5
P/G3.4
PA/G3.0
Rank2
P/G3.5
PA/G2.7
Rank5
P/G3.4
PA/G3.0

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
1910-8-10.8902.98

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2314-7-20.9102.55

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 5-2 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-200
L 1-4 at Winnipeg JetsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • WPG: Connor Hellebuyck-185
L 1-5 at Minnesota WildTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • MIN: Filip Gustavsson-130
L 6-2 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-240
L 4-5 at Carolina HurricanesTBL: Jonas Johansson • CAR: Brandon Bussi+130
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Juuse Saros • BUF: Alex Lyon-170
W 5-1 at Pittsburgh PenguinsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • PIT: Stuart Skinner-108
W 2-3 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Akira Schmid • BUF: Alex Lyon-128
W 6-2 at Tampa Bay LightningBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+220
W 3-2 at Florida PanthersBUF: Alex Lyon • FLA: Daniil Tarasov+100

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DEmil LillebergOut
  • LWNick PaulIR
  • DMax CrozierOut for Season
  • CGage GoncalvesOut
  • LWDominic JamesIR

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • DLuke SchennQuestionable
  • LWJordan GreenwayIR
  • CTyson KozakQuestionable
  • LWTanner PearsonQuestionable
  • DLogan StanleyQuestionable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-115-115-122-114-120-114-114-106.5
Buffalo-105+103+102+100+100+100+103+106.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-115-110-116-115-120-114-110-106.5
Buffalo-105-110+104-105+100+104+104+106.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -121 to -127
Buffalo ML moved from +106 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Buffalo ML moved from +103 to -104

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+195-1½+198-1½+205-1½+203-1½+200-1½+203-1½+205-1½+215
Buffalo+1½-235+1½-233+1½-245+1½-245+1½-240+1½-245+1½-233+1½-215
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+200-1½+210-1½+210-1½+200-1½+205-1½+210-1½+210-1½+215
Buffalo+1½-245+1½-250+1½-245+1½-250+1½-250+1½-250+1½-245+1½-215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-108o6½-116o6½-122o6½-113o6½-115o6½-113o6½-113o6½-105
Underu6½-112u6½+104u6½+102u6½-103u6½-105u6½-103u6½+104u6½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-105o6½-110o6½-110o6½-110o6½-115o6½-105o6½-105
Underu6½-110u6½-115u6½-110u6½-110u6½-110u6½-105u6½-105u6½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-101 to o6½-101
The Under moved from u6½-103 to u6½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under