Philadelphia at Toronto

Updated

Philadelphia Flyers

(38-33-11)
Rank27
P/G2.9
PA/G3.2
41.3%58.7%
Philadelphia WinToronto Win
2.75Projected Goals 3.68
3Final Score 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

(46-26-10)
Rank10
P/G3.8
PA/G3.4
Rank27
P/G2.9
PA/G3.2
Rank10
P/G3.8
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Samuel Ersson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2615-9-30.9012.49

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2210-4-60.8803.26

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Flyers
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Arizona CoyotesARI: Karel Vejmelka • PHI: Samuel Ersson-146
W 2-3 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Joey Daccord • PHI: Calvin Petersen-106
W 1-4 vs Winnipeg JetsWPG: Laurent Brossoit • PHI: Samuel Ersson+114
W 2-1 at Florida PanthersPHI: Samuel Ersson • FLA: Anthony Stolarz+170
L 6-2 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • PHI: Samuel Ersson+140
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 1-4 vs St. Louis BluesSTL: Jordan Binnington • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-174
L 3-5 at Ottawa SenatorsTOR: Martin Jones • OTT: Joonas Korpisalo-135
W 4-5 vs Dallas StarsDAL: Scott Wedgewood • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-123
L 3-2 vs New York IslandersNYI: Ilya Sorokin • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-143
W 4-2 at Winnipeg JetsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • WPG: Connor Hellebuyck+120

Injuries

Philadelphia Flyers

Status
  • DRasmus RistolainenOut
  • CTyson FoersterOut
  • GOCarter HartOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CCalle JarnkrokIR
  • GOMartin JonesDoubtful
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • DMorgan RiellyOut
  • DConor TimminsOut
  • CJohn TavaresProbable
  • RWMitchell MarnerProbable
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+145+131+130+131+130+131+131+137.5
Toronto-170-147-150-147-150-147-147-137.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+145+135+133-+130+135+135+137.5
Toronto-165-155-146--150-150-146-137.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Toronto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Philadelphia: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Philadelphia ML moved from +133 to +125
Toronto ML moved from -150 to -163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Philadelphia: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Philadelphia ML moved from +140 to +133
Toronto ML moved from -150 to -160

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+1½-165-+1½-185+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-174
Toronto-1½+140--1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia+1½-155+1½-185+1½-187-+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-174
Toronto-1½+135-1½+165-1½+165--1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6-116o6-122o6-114o6-115o6-114o6-114o6-105
Underu6½-120u6+100u6+102u6-102u6-105u6-102u6+102u6+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-125o6-120o6-120-o6-115o6-115o6-115o6-105
Underu6+105u6+100u6+100-u6-105u6-105u6+100u6+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-110 to o6-120
The Under moved from u6+105 to u6-105
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