Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund		37.1%
35.4%		27.5%
+126
+217

1
0		-0.85967-0.99023
Molde
Bryne		72.3%
11.2%		16.5%
+119
+241

3
0		-0.82287-0.32393
HamKam
Sarpsborg 08		20.1%
59.1%		20.8%
+482
-196

0
4		-0.45793-0.52514
Valerenga
Sandefjord		31.4%
42.7%		25.8%
+209
+125

1
2		-0.84169-0.84994
Tromso
KFUM Oslo		36.2%
34.8%		29.0%
+237
+147

3
1		-1.25358-1.01628
Rosenborg
Brann		27.4%
48.0%		24.6%
+176
+146

0
0		-1.32648-1.40393
Bryne
Rosenborg		5.0%
84.3%		10.7%
+763
-277

0
3		-0.35386-0.17094
Kristiansund
Stromsgodset		19.9%
58.7%		21.4%
+460
-190

2
1		-1.76826-1.61485
Sandefjord
Tromso		17.7%
61.0%		21.3%
+360
-130

1
0		-1.55936-1.73183
Sarpsborg 08
Viking		15.8%
65.7%		18.5%
+345
-154

0
0		-1.59037-1.68762
Haugesund
Molde		9.8%
75.5%		14.7%
+1123
-400

1
2		-0.25860-0.28114
Brann
Valerenga		45.4%
29.1%		25.5%
+144
+168

4
2		-0.93907-0.79032
KFUM Oslo
HamKam		21.0%
57.0%		22.0%
+142
+215

0
0		-1.19442-1.51240
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		11.0%
73.3%		15.7%
+774
-303

1
1		-1.75175-1.85349
Haugesund
Viking		11.8%
72.3%		15.9%
+900
-383

1
5		-0.27122-0.32396
Tromso
Viking		21.7%
56.5%		21.9%
+340
-133

4
4		-1.47059-1.52033
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31722 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81130
0.50592

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.