Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kristiansund
Viking		14.1%
68.8%		17.1%
+599
-250

1
3		-0.39223-0.37440
Valerenga
Fredrikstad		23.2%
52.0%		24.7%
+223
+132

0
2		-0.88967-0.65371
KFUM Oslo
Viking		12.9%
69.7%		17.4%
+353
-135

1
3		-0.60974-0.36134
Molde
Sandefjord		51.7%
25.4%		22.9%
+105
+264

0
3		-1.32494-1.37085
Stromsgodset
Haugesund		32.3%
41.4%		26.4%
+100
+275

5
0		-0.74265-1.13131
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08		28.4%
46.0%		25.6%
+207
+125

1
1		-1.31546-1.36301
Tromso
Brann		14.4%
65.8%		19.7%
+365
-144

1
3		-0.58593-0.41831
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg		18.1%
60.1%		21.8%
+456
-155

0
1		-0.54356-0.50868
HamKam
Bodo/Glimt		9.4%
77.5%		13.0%
+1466
-600

0
3		-0.20297-0.25429
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo		30.9%
42.1%		26.9%
+252
+120

1
3		-0.83831-0.86481
Haugesund
Tromso		15.3%
64.2%		20.4%
+668
-215

0
1		-0.42938-0.44244
Kristiansund
HamKam		19.9%
60.0%		20.1%
+278
+105

1
2		-0.76494-0.51124
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		12.2%
71.3%		16.5%
+517
-215

2
0		-1.87132-2.10702
Viking
Valerenga		34.5%
40.4%		25.1%
+166
+148

1
3		-0.95930-0.90689
Brann
Fredrikstad		44.0%
29.2%		26.7%
+115
+248

0
3		-1.29591-1.23090
Rosenborg
Stromsgodset		43.7%
31.0%		25.2%
+115
+227

2
1		-0.81301-0.82723
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31722 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81130
0.50592

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.