Famalicão at Nacional

Updated

Famalicao

34.2%27.7%38.2%
Famalicão WinDrawNacional Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.24
1Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Famalicao
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Vitoria-125
T 1-1 at Arouca-115
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave-140
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+115
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+575
Nacional
Money Line
T 1-1 at Estoril+200
W 2-3 vs Moreirense+120
W 1-0 at Braga+730
L 2-1 vs Arouca+125
L 0-1 at Porto+1800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Famalicão+128+134+124+133+133+133+134+151.7
Nacional+210+213+215+180+180+180+215+202.5
Draw+230+241+235+240+240+240+241+267.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Famalicão+125----+125+125+151.7
Nacional+220----+220+220+202.5
Draw+240----+240+240+267.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Famalicão: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Famalicão: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Famalicão: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Famalicão ML moved from +119 to +111
Nacional ML moved from +221 to +213

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Famalicão: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Famalicão: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Famalicão: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Famalicão ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½+104o2½+102o2½+101o2½+101o2½+101o2½+104o2½+110
Underu2¼+105u2½-122u2½-122u2½-121u2½-121u2½-121u2½-121u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+110
Under-----u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.10%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 412.51%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.82%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 56.00%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Famalicao
Exactly 031.44%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 028.95%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.97%
Exactly 220.30%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Famalicao
Exactly 058.52%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 056.33%
Exactly 132.33%
Exactly 29.28%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Famalicao
Wins by 2+ goals14.03%
Wins by 3+ goals4.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals16.58%
Wins by 3+ goals5.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Famalicao
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Famalicao
Wins by 1 goal20.12%
Wins by 2 goals9.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal21.56%
Wins by 2 goals10.99%
Wins by 3 goals4.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.90%9.10%
1.569.08%30.92%
2.542.94%57.06%
3.522.06%77.94%
4.59.54%90.46%
5.53.55%96.45%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Famalicao Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.56%31.44%
1.532.18%67.82%
2.511.14%88.86%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.05%28.95%
1.535.16%64.84%
2.512.92%87.08%
3.53.73%96.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.03%32.97%
1.530.45%69.55%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Famalicão
Nacional
Score012345
0
9.10%
11.28%
6.99%
2.89%
0.90%
0.22%
1
10.53%
13.06%
8.09%
3.34%
1.04%
0.26%
2
6.09%
7.55%
4.68%
1.93%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.35%
2.91%
1.81%
0.75%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.68%
0.84%
0.52%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Famalicao
1-010.53%
2-06.09%
2-17.55%
3-02.35%
3-12.91%
3-21.81%
4-00.68%
4-10.84%
4-20.52%
4-30.22%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.10%
1-113.06%
2-24.68%
3-30.75%
Nacional
0-111.28%
0-26.99%
1-28.09%
0-32.89%
1-33.34%
2-31.93%
0-40.90%
1-41.04%
2-40.60%
3-40.23%
0-50.22%
1-50.26%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Famalicão
Nacional
Score01234
0
32.97%
18.92%
5.43%
1.04%
0.15%
1
17.66%
10.14%
2.91%
0.56%
0.08%
2
4.73%
2.72%
0.78%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.84%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Famalicao
1-017.66%
2-04.73%
2-12.72%
3-00.84%
3-10.48%
3-20.14%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.97%
1-110.14%
2-20.78%
Nacional
0-118.92%
0-25.43%
1-22.91%
0-31.04%
1-30.56%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%
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