Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pacos
Braga
7.2%
78.3%
14.5%
+898
-350
+875
-400
0
3
-0.27153-0.27366-0.24469
Vitoria
Porto
7.8%
77.4%
14.8%
+1299
-473
+1185
-500
0
3
-0.20808-0.23208-0.25656
Arouca
Portimonense
30.6%
39.5%
30.0%
+125
+232
+120
+215
2
0
-0.82672-0.83704-1.18571
Santa Clara
Benfica
3.3%
88.3%
8.5%
+3199
-1396
+2300
-1720
0
3
-0.08616-0.10853-0.12497
Maritimo
Estoril
27.6%
43.1%
29.2%
+240
+119
+190
+140
1
3
-0.81202-0.92553-0.84063
Boavista
Chaves
30.6%
40.6%
28.9%
+223
+130
+180
+140
4
1
-1.18991-1.07993-1.18492
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC
23.2%
50.6%
26.2%
+225
+136
+210
+120
0
1
-0.85746-0.83829-0.68195
Sporting CP
FC Vizela
63.5%
15.6%
20.9%
-202
+548
-210
+495
2
1
-0.43195-0.43985-0.45404
Famalicao
Rio Ave
29.0%
43.3%
27.7%
+127
+229
+130
+220
2
2
-1.28251-1.24299-1.28388
Benfica
Sporting CP
35.2%
36.6%
28.1%
+140
+200
+135
+200
2
2
-1.30225-1.28591-1.26908
Rio Ave
Pacos
32.0%
37.3%
30.7%
+204
+152
+200
+140
1
3
-0.94567-0.92712-0.98569
Estoril
Casa Pia AC
21.3%
53.0%
25.7%
+244
+132
+255
+120
2
2
-1.20551-1.21073-1.35705
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria
21.8%
52.9%
25.3%
+364
-136
+340
-135
0
1
-0.57900-0.60475-0.63696
Porto
Famalicao
63.3%
16.0%
20.7%
-215
+630
-225
+620
4
2
-0.40285-0.41977-0.45697
Braga
Boavista
56.4%
19.7%
24.0%
-150
+405
-165
+410
1
1
-1.49593-1.50864-1.42908
Chaves
Arouca
17.3%
59.3%
23.4%
+285
+102
+225
+125
0
1
-0.73516-0.86034-0.52227
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).