Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Braga		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+113
+235
+110
+230
1
0		-0.79158-0.79025-0.98618
Chaves
Sporting CP		3.8%
86.5%		9.7%
+2800
-1363
+2100
-1500
0
3		-0.10412-0.11749-0.14470
Estoril
Moreirense		19.3%
56.0%		24.7%
+236
+125
+245
+120
1
2		-0.84565-0.83924-0.57918
Vitoria
Arouca		34.7%
35.0%		30.3%
+127
+213
+130
+195
3
1		-0.85320-0.88317-1.05814
FC Vizela
Boavista		22.0%
52.6%		25.4%
+337
+104
+255
+110
2
2		-1.21574-1.27447-1.37148
Portimonense
SC Farense		20.6%
52.5%		26.9%
+121
+196
+120
+180
3
1		-0.82608-0.83977-1.58163
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		26.5%
45.8%		27.7%
+373
-142
+375
-145
0
1		-0.57492-0.57263-0.78036
Benfica
Rio Ave		67.6%
12.7%		19.7%
-243
+603
-245
+610
1
1		-1.71713-1.65921-1.62399
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		22.1%
53.4%		24.6%
+462
-173
+390
-150
2
1		-1.75962-1.63897-1.51172
Boavista
Porto		4.7%
84.1%		11.2%
+1712
-725
+1750
-800
1
2		-0.17673-0.16485-0.17304
Moreirense
Casa Pia AC		34.1%
36.3%		29.6%
+186
+169
+190
+165
1
0		-1.08607-1.11355-1.07482
Arouca
Benfica		5.1%
83.1%		11.8%
+843
-345
+810
-375
0
5		-0.28684-0.28602-0.18523
SC Farense
Gil Vicente FC		23.4%
49.2%		27.4%
+357
-134
+360
-135
0
2		-0.59167-0.60462-0.70952
Braga
Vitoria		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+121
+234
+120
+205
3
2		-0.82223-0.83637-0.97072
Sporting CP
Estoril		73.0%
9.7%		17.4%
-264
+686
-270
+670
1
0		-0.35820-0.36394-0.31523
Estrela
FC Vizela		31.5%
39.5%		28.9%
+108
+255
+105
+250
0
4		-1.30346-1.30280-0.92811
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).