Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 22, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Maritimo
Vitoria
23.3%
53.3%
23.4%
+439
-140

0.75
1.72
2.47
o2¼+100
u2¼-118

Games for Oct 21, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Braga
16.1%
69.5%
14.4%
+779
-265
+740
-260
2
2
-1.27848-1.27731-1.09621
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril
30.3%
41.4%
28.3%
+289
+117
+245
+115
2
2
-1.08549-1.05403-1.03796
Portimonense
Benfica
13.5%
74.4%
12.1%
+1716
-476
+1450
-500
1
0
-2.92527-2.79116-2.00575
Tondela
Belenenses
26.7%
45.1%
28.2%
+172
+185
+170
+170
2
0
-1.02104-1.04055-1.32163
Sporting CP
Arouca
64.2%
18.3%
17.5%
-246
+800
-260
+800
2
1
-0.36941-0.37490-0.44326
Pacos
Porto
11.3%
79.2%
9.6%
+1306
-375
+1300
-450
1
2
-0.25503-0.24909-0.23379
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/03/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Benfica (7-1-0, 21 pts)22.25.95.872.641.0%74.3%25.6%0.0%
2Porto (6-0-2, 20 pts)21.34.97.871.735.8%69.8%29.8%0.0%
3Sporting CP (6-0-2, 20 pts)20.55.38.269.621.9%52.0%46.4%0.0%
4Estoril (4-1-3, 15 pts)11.812.010.245.50.0%0.1%4.5%2.1%
5Portimonense (4-2-2, 14 pts)13.211.79.148.70.1%0.3%12.4%0.7%
6Braga (3-1-4, 13 pts)15.47.711.057.11.2%3.5%69.0%0.0%
7Vitoria (2-2-4, 10 pts)10.012.811.241.20.0%0.0%1.7%6.7%
8Boavista (2-2-4, 10 pts)10.112.911.141.30.0%0.0%2.0%7.5%
9Gil Vicente FC (2-3-3, 9 pts)10.513.210.341.90.0%0.0%2.8%5.1%
10Tondela (3-5-0, 9 pts)10.616.37.139.00.0%0.0%0.6%13.0%
11Pacos (2-3-3, 9 pts)10.313.410.241.20.0%0.0%1.3%7.2%
12FC Vizela (1-2-5, 8 pts)8.813.312.038.20.0%0.0%0.6%16.0%
13Maritimo (1-3-4, 7 pts)7.615.410.933.80.0%0.0%0.0%37.6%
14Moreirense (1-3-4, 7 pts)9.513.211.339.80.0%0.0%1.6%11.3%
15Santa Clara (1-4-3, 6 pts)9.613.910.439.30.0%0.0%0.7%14.6%
16Arouca (1-5-2, 5 pts)8.416.59.134.30.0%0.0%0.1%37.3%
17Belenenses (0-4-4, 4 pts)7.914.911.234.90.0%0.0%0.2%30.6%
18Famalicao (0-5-3, 3 pts)9.614.010.439.30.0%0.0%0.7%10.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).