Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 6, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pacos
Portimonense
20.0%
53.8%
26.2%
+246
+133
+235
+125
0.80
1.50
2.30
o2¼-105
u2½-143

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
63.9%
14.2%
21.8%
-238
+780
-250
+725
1.85
0.74
2.59
o2½-112
u2½+101

Games for Feb 5, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC
24.6%
48.3%
27.1%
+249
+126
+235
+120
1
1
-1.25082-1.25924-1.30663
FC Vizela
Porto
4.8%
84.5%
10.7%
+1240
-396
+1200
-450
0
2
-0.25472-0.25075-0.16856
Maritimo
Chaves
24.5%
48.0%
27.5%
+255
+128
+250
+125
1
2
-0.85456-0.85746-0.73380
Famalicao
Braga
10.1%
73.7%
16.2%
+591
-180
+575
-190
1
4
-0.46997-0.47188-0.30544
Vitoria
Estoril
30.4%
40.8%
28.7%
+188
+174
+180
+170
1
0
-1.08604-1.07852-1.18994
Casa Pia AC
Benfica
4.8%
84.2%
11.0%
+1224
-372
+1300
-475
0
3
-0.26531-0.24114-0.17175
Boavista
Santa Clara
28.2%
43.6%
28.2%
+185
+193
+175
+185
2
2
-1.12381-1.13392-1.26556
Braga
Sporting CP
15.7%
63.2%
21.2%
+330
-109
+325
-115
0
5
-0.67505-0.67627-0.45955
Porto
Maritimo
76.5%
7.8%
15.7%
-358
+1278
-380
+1200
2
0
-0.26460-0.28279-0.26847
Benfica
Arouca
76.8%
8.1%
15.1%
-297
+950
-340
+950
3
0
-0.31221-0.30642-0.26445
Gil Vicente FC
Pacos
36.7%
33.4%
29.9%
+148
+217
+140
+210
1
2
-1.17886-1.18185-1.09673
Chaves
Vitoria
18.1%
58.6%
23.3%
+359
-102
+310
+100
1
2
-0.70094-0.74345-0.53430
Estoril
Famalicao
23.8%
50.7%
25.6%
+332
+104
+330
-105
0
1
-0.73735-0.72017-0.67966
Portimonense
Boavista
32.8%
36.6%
30.6%
+349
+100
+285
+105
2
4
-0.71857-0.76718-1.00529
Santa Clara
Casa Pia AC
24.4%
49.1%
26.6%
+367
+100
+330
+100
1
2
-0.72231-0.74196-0.71225
Rio Ave
FC Vizela
26.1%
46.8%
27.1%
+329
+104
+310
-105
1
3
-0.73626-0.71803-0.75948
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.70752 
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.70983 
DRatings43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.62861
0.07891
0.08122

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).