Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/27/2023 07:30 PM	Pacos Braga	7.2% 78.3%	14.5%	+898 -350 +875 -400	0 3	-0.27153-0.27366	-0.24469
05/27/2023 05:00 PM	Vitoria Porto	7.8% 77.4%	14.8%	+1299 -473 +1185 -500	0 3	-0.20808-0.23208	-0.25656
05/27/2023 05:00 PM	Arouca Portimonense	30.6% 39.5%	30.0%	+125 +232 +120 +215	2 0	-0.82672-0.83704	-1.18571
05/27/2023 05:00 PM	Santa Clara Benfica	3.3% 88.3%	8.5%	+3199 -1396 +2300 -1720	0 3	-0.08616-0.10853	-0.12497
05/27/2023 02:30 PM	Maritimo Estoril	27.6% 43.1%	29.2%	+240 +119 +190 +140	1 3	-0.81202-0.92553	-0.84063
05/27/2023 02:30 PM	Boavista Chaves	30.6% 40.6%	28.9%	+223 +130 +180 +140	4 1	-1.18991-1.07993	-1.18492
05/27/2023 11:45 AM	Casa Pia AC Gil Vicente FC	23.2% 50.6%	26.2%	+225 +136 +210 +120	0 1	-0.85746-0.83829	-0.68195
05/26/2023 08:15 PM	Sporting CP FC Vizela	63.5% 15.6%	20.9%	-202 +548 -210 +495	2 1	-0.43195-0.43985	-0.45404
05/26/2023 06:00 PM	Famalicao Rio Ave	29.0% 43.3%	27.7%	+127 +229 +130 +220	2 2	-1.28251-1.24299	-1.28388
05/21/2023 07:30 PM	Benfica Sporting CP	35.2% 36.6%	28.1%	+140 +200 +135 +200	2 2	-1.30225-1.28591	-1.26908
05/21/2023 05:00 PM	Rio Ave Pacos	32.0% 37.3%	30.7%	+204 +152 +200 +140	1 3	-0.94567-0.92712	-0.98569
05/21/2023 05:00 PM	Estoril Casa Pia AC	21.3% 53.0%	25.7%	+244 +132 +255 +120	2 2	-1.20551-1.21073	-1.35705
05/21/2023 02:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Vitoria	21.8% 52.9%	25.3%	+364 -136 +340 -135	0 1	-0.57900-0.60475	-0.63696
05/20/2023 07:30 PM	Porto Famalicao	63.3% 16.0%	20.7%	-215 +630 -225 +620	4 2	-0.40285-0.41977	-0.45697
05/20/2023 05:00 PM	Braga Boavista	56.4% 19.7%	24.0%	-150 +405 -165 +410	1 1	-1.49593-1.50864	-1.42908
05/20/2023 02:30 PM	Chaves Arouca	17.3% 59.3%	23.4%	+285 +102 +225 +125	0 1	-0.73516-0.86034	-0.52227

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).