Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 1, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Chaves
39.4%
30.9%
29.6%
+120
+249
+120
+235
1.14
0.98
2.12
o2¼-122
u2½-126

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Feb 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Boavista
59.6%
18.0%
22.5%
-135
+397
-140
+375
4
0
-0.58589-0.58805-0.51777
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
67.2%
12.6%
20.3%
-416
+1450
-425
+1200
3
3
-1.87627-1.85745-1.59682
Portimonense
Benfica
3.4%
87.2%
9.3%
+2400
-927
+2175
-1100
0
4
-0.13918-0.13726-0.13673
Porto
Gil Vicente FC
68.1%
12.3%
19.6%
-209
+615
-225
+625
1
1
-1.55225-1.55519-1.62882
Estoril
FC Vizela
23.3%
50.2%
26.5%
+203
+148
+195
+140
3
3
-1.25285-1.27236-1.32837
Casa Pia AC
Vitoria
10.8%
70.7%
18.4%
+525
-156
+590
-190
2
0
-1.85489-1.98036-2.22470
Chaves
Estrela
22.4%
51.9%
25.7%
+326
-104
+330
-110
1
1
-1.27011-1.27300-1.35767
Famalicao
Arouca
22.0%
52.8%
25.2%
+235
+135
+215
+130
2
3
-0.87671-0.88242-0.63887
Sporting CP
Moreirense
67.8%
12.6%
19.6%
-273
+815
-330
+900
2
0
-0.34613-0.31278-0.38881
SC Farense
Braga
7.4%
77.8%
14.8%
+554
-209
+550
-230
1
2
-0.41346-0.41059-0.25158
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril
28.0%
43.3%
28.7%
+244
+125
+255
+115
3
1
-1.26016-1.31557-1.27332
FC Vizela
Benfica
4.1%
86.1%
9.8%
+1900
-567
+1450
-600
1
6
-0.17516-0.20360-0.14959
Arouca
Casa Pia AC
37.0%
33.0%
29.9%
+163
+198
+160
+195
0
1
-1.12760-1.13199-1.10866
Estrela
Porto
4.4%
84.8%
10.8%
+1400
-500
+1400
-550
0
2
-0.21342-0.21657-0.16484
Vitoria
Portimonense
47.2%
24.9%
27.9%
-105
+324
-120
+340
1
1
-1.31449-1.33018-1.27550
Boavista
Chaves
31.5%
39.7%
28.7%
+175
+186
+175
+180
1
2
-1.08506-1.07713-0.92334
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).