Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 20, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Casa Pia AC
Estrela 		34.4%
38.5%		27.2%
+185
+164

1.19
1.28		2.47
o2¼+102
u2¼-122

Games for Mar 19, 2026
Games for Mar 21, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Moreirense
Porto		5.4%
82.5%		12.1%
+1450
-520
+1450
-500
0
3		-0.21354-0.23274-0.19287
Estrela
Rio Ave		29.8%
42.5%		27.8%
+230
+130
+205
+140
1
2		-0.87117-0.92637-0.85682
Santa Clara
AVS		51.8%
21.1%		27.1%
-119
+385
-120
+375
1
0		-0.64462-0.65502-0.65848
Estoril
Nacional		33.4%
39.0%		27.6%
+190
+144
+220
+120
1
0		-1.10428-1.21073-1.09697
Benfica
Arouca		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-357
+900
-340
+845
2
1		-0.28731-0.30753-0.30795
Alverca
Gil Vicente FC		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+450
-133
+450
-145
2
2		-1.29040-1.33109-1.45534
Famalicao
Vitoria		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+195
+152
+190
+160
2
1		-1.11816-1.11541-1.12436
Rio Ave
Tondela		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+260
+120
+265
+120
1
0		-1.31390-1.34458-1.30711
Vitoria
Santa Clara		34.8%
36.4%		28.8%
+216
+156
+225
+145
0
2		-0.97128-0.94410-1.01035
Porto
Benfica		23.7%
51.5%		24.8%
+340
-103
+300
+105
2
2		-1.21797-1.21224-1.39404
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		46.2%
25.4%		28.3%
+102
+325
-115
+350
2
2		-1.23104-1.27372-1.26058
Casa Pia AC
Estoril		17.4%
59.6%		22.9%
+355
-132
+355
-135
0
0		-1.44312-1.41038-1.47333
Sporting CP
Braga		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+105
+290
+105
+265
2
2		-1.28226-1.28870-1.36641
AVS
Alverca		21.0%
52.4%		26.6%
+425
-141
+420
-150
0
0		-1.39243-1.39885-1.32460
Arouca
Famalicao		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+435
-147
+430
-150
0
1		-0.55052-0.56136-0.54948
Benfica
Gil Vicente FC		64.4%
14.8%		20.8%
-175
+525
-175
+490
2
1		-0.48315-0.50055-0.44058
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).