Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nacional
Casa Pia AC 		18.8%
57.6%		23.5%
+263
+114

0.88
1.74		2.62
o2¼-112
u2½-133

Volatility Bet Value Active
Gil Vicente FC
Santa Clara 		21.2%
53.2%		25.6%
+309
+104

0.88
1.55		2.43
o2-128
u2¼-130

Games for Oct 24, 2024
Games for Oct 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Porto		14.9%
64.7%		20.4%
+605
-217
+550
-215
1
2		-0.41399-0.43209-0.43546
Estoril
SC Farense		22.7%
50.2%		27.1%
+260
+117
+260
+115
0
1		-0.81376-0.81482-0.68945
Boavista
Vitoria		10.9%
70.8%		18.3%
+850
-265
+810
-275
2
2		-1.54740-1.61888-1.70024
Casa Pia AC
Sporting CP		4.4%
84.7%		10.8%
+1870
-714
+1600
-800
0
2		-0.16491-0.16940-0.16575
AVS
Arouca		31.5%
38.8%		29.6%
+268
+112
+280
+105
1
1		-1.23069-1.24650-1.21594
Santa Clara
Moreirense		25.9%
46.7%		27.3%
+206
+176
+225
+160
0
1		-1.04976-1.00376-0.76085
Estrela
Gil Vicente FC		22.4%
51.5%		26.0%
+310
-108
+350
-115
0
3		-0.70388-0.67566-0.66264
Famalicao
Rio Ave		27.4%
45.3%		27.3%
+175
+192
+160
+190
1
1		-1.13731-1.18215-1.29689
SC Farense
AVS		25.5%
46.9%		27.7%
+257
+110
+285
+100
0
0		-1.27504-1.28677-1.28439
Rio Ave
Braga		11.1%
70.4%		18.5%
+600
-168
+540
-195
0
4		-0.45893-0.46261-0.35112
Boavista
Santa Clara		19.5%
56.3%		24.1%
+565
-175
+520
-170
0
1		-0.47707-0.51204-0.57424
Arouca
Porto		3.8%
86.0%		10.2%
+1300
-432
+1200
-500
0
4		-0.24150-0.23029-0.15086
Nacional
Famalicao		14.7%
65.3%		20.0%
+460
-135
+425
-145
0
0		-1.33336-1.36956-1.60694
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		4.0%
86.0%		9.9%
+1475
-480
+1375
-600
1
5		-0.20914-0.20516-0.15069
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC		47.4%
25.6%		26.9%
+103
+316
+100
+320
1
1		-1.22068-1.21251-1.31200
Moreirense
Estrela		34.7%
35.4%		29.8%
+145
+215
+140
+210
1
2		-1.18958-1.18185-1.03713
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).