Benfica at Tondela

Updated

Benfica

73.5%12.1%14.4%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.69Projected Goals 0.52
3Final Score 1

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-230
W 2-0 at Arouca-400
T 1-1 vs Moreirense-600
W 0-2 vs Pacos-525
L 1-3 at Porto+350
Tondela
Money Line
W 2-1 at Portimonense+240
L 3-2 vs FC Vizela+165
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+400
T 1-1 at Boavista+290
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-265-275-310-292-297-310-275-251.3
Tondela+600+600+750+778+702+750+778+793.7
Draw+400+400+465+467+435+465+467+478.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-290-----330-330-251.3
Tondela+785----+810+810+793.7
Draw+415----+475+475+478.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Tondela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -321 to -327
Tondela ML moved from +742 to +702

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Tondela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Tondela: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -390 to -410
Tondela ML moved from +825 to +810

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3¼+102o3¼+100o3½+139-o3¼+100o3¼+102o3-112
Underu3+100u3¼-122u3¼-120u3½-154-u3¼-120u3½-145u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-112
Under-----u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.0%
 
No62.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.06%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 417.83%
Exactly 66.11%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.00%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 511.43%
Exactly 72.80%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 06.85%
Exactly 118.36%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 63.53%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 059.23%
Exactly 131.02%
Exactly 28.12%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.67%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 44.58%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 312.35%
Exactly 51.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 028.90%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 078.47%
Exactly 119.03%
Exactly 22.31%
Exactly 30.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals62.31%
Wins by 3+ goals39.59%
Wins by 4+ goals21.29%
Wins by 5+ goals9.79%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals1.01%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Tondela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal20.52%
Wins by 2 goals22.72%
Wins by 3 goals18.30%
Wins by 4 goals11.50%
Wins by 5 goals5.90%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal4.01%
Wins by 2 goals0.86%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.94%4.06%
1.582.95%17.05%
2.562.12%37.88%
3.539.86%60.14%
4.522.03%77.97%
5.510.60%89.40%
6.54.49%95.51%
7.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.15%6.85%
1.574.79%25.21%
2.550.18%49.82%
3.528.18%71.82%
4.513.43%86.57%
5.55.52%94.48%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.77%59.23%
1.59.75%90.25%
2.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.33%22.67%
1.543.68%56.32%
2.518.71%81.29%
3.56.37%93.63%
4.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Tondela
Score012
0
4.06%
2.12%
0.56%
1
10.87%
5.70%
1.49%
2
14.58%
7.64%
2.00%
3
13.03%
6.82%
1.79%
4
8.73%
4.58%
1.20%
5
4.68%
2.45%
0.64%
Benfica
1-010.87%
2-014.58%
2-17.64%
3-013.03%
3-16.82%
3-21.79%
4-08.73%
4-14.58%
4-21.20%
4-30.21%
5-04.68%
5-12.45%
5-20.64%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-04.06%
1-15.70%
2-22.00%
3-30.31%
Tondela
0-12.12%
0-20.56%
1-21.49%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Tondela
Score012
0
22.67%
5.50%
0.67%
1
28.15%
6.83%
0.83%
2
17.47%
4.24%
0.51%
3
7.23%
1.75%
0.21%
4
2.24%
0.54%
0.07%
5
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
6
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Benfica
1-028.15%
2-017.47%
2-14.24%
3-07.23%
3-11.75%
3-20.21%
4-02.24%
4-10.54%
5-00.56%
5-10.14%
6-00.12%
Draw
0-022.67%
1-16.83%
2-20.51%
Tondela
0-15.50%
0-20.67%
1-20.83%