Estrela at AVS Futebol

Updated

Estrela

34.6%29.7%35.6%
Estrela WinDrawAVS Futebol Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 1

AVS

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave+150
L 0-2 at Porto+1700
W 1-2 vs Arouca+170
L 0-1 at SC Farense+190
W 0-2 vs Nacional+120
AVS
Money Line
T 0-0 at Boavista+235
T 1-1 vs Benfica+1525
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+390
L 1-0 vs Braga+750
T 0-0 at Estoril+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+187--+205+233+205+233+230.2
AVS Futebol+137--+144+140+144+144+164.1
Draw+205--+190+192+190+192+213.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+210----+255+255+230.2
AVS Futebol+150----+135+135+164.1
Draw+205----+190+190+213.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AVS Futebol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 20.0%
AVS Futebol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 20.0%
AVS Futebol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +240 to +233
AVS Futebol ML moved from +136 to +128

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Estrela: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AVS Futebol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 20.0%
AVS Futebol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 70.0%
AVS Futebol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
AVS Futebol ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+106--o2-107o2-108o2-107o2-107o2+103
Underu2¼-126--u2-113u2-112u2-113u2-112u2-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+103
Under-----u2-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼-115 to u2-101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.94%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 410.15%
Exactly 61.53%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.38%
Exactly 319.10%
Exactly 54.31%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 034.90%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.34%
Exactly 36.79%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - AVS
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.39%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 41.46%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 061.42%
Exactly 129.94%
Exactly 27.30%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AVS
Exactly 060.87%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals13.42%
Wins by 3+ goals3.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
AVS
Wins by 2+ goals14.01%
Wins by 3+ goals4.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
AVS
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal21.14%
Wins by 2 goals9.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
AVS
Wins by 1 goal21.53%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.06%11.94%
1.562.68%37.32%
2.535.71%64.29%
3.516.61%83.39%
4.56.46%93.54%
5.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.10%34.90%
1.528.36%71.64%
2.59.03%90.97%
3.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals AVS Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.08%70.92%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.61%37.39%
1.525.83%74.17%
2.57.74%92.26%
3.51.80%98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
AVS
Score012345
0
11.94%
12.81%
6.87%
2.45%
0.66%
0.14%
1
12.57%
13.48%
7.23%
2.58%
0.69%
0.15%
2
6.62%
7.10%
3.80%
1.36%
0.36%
0.08%
3
2.32%
2.49%
1.34%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.61%
0.66%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Estrela
1-012.57%
2-06.62%
2-17.10%
3-02.32%
3-12.49%
3-21.34%
4-00.61%
4-10.66%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.94%
1-113.48%
2-23.80%
3-30.48%
AVS
0-112.81%
0-26.87%
1-27.23%
0-32.45%
1-32.58%
2-31.36%
0-40.66%
1-40.69%
2-40.36%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
AVS
Score0123
0
37.39%
18.56%
4.61%
0.76%
1
18.22%
9.05%
2.25%
0.37%
2
4.44%
2.20%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.72%
0.36%
0.09%
0.01%
Estrela
1-018.22%
2-04.44%
2-12.20%
3-00.72%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-037.39%
1-19.05%
2-20.55%
AVS
0-118.56%
0-24.61%
1-22.25%
0-30.76%
1-30.37%
Gil Vicente FC at Arouca
Moreirense at Estoril