Tondela at Paços

Updated

Tondela

16.1%22.2%61.8%
WinDrawPaços Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.85
1Final Score 1

Pacos

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Vitoria+295
L 0-2 at Moreirense+240
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
W 3-1 at Maritimo+280
T 2-2 vs Arouca+165
Pacos
Money Line
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+430
L 0-4 at Vitoria+380
W 0-2 vs Maritimo+190
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1550
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+235+150+165+148+150+145+150+156.3
Paços+120+200+175+223+186+205+223+224.3
Draw+215+195+225+220+225+220+225+231.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+230----+135+135+156.3
Paços+125----+220+220+224.3
Draw+230----+220+220+231.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Paços: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +160 to +150
Paços ML moved from +156 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Paços: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +170 to +135
No Steam Moves On Paços ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2¼-105o2¼+100o2½+131-o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+104
Underu2¼+105u2¼-115u2¼-120u2½-146-u2¼-120u2½-146u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.95%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 414.64%
Exactly 63.47%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.53%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 57.81%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 044.13%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.77%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 015.75%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 316.58%
Exactly 47.66%
Exactly 52.83%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.09%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 39.13%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 068.47%
Exactly 125.94%
Exactly 24.91%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 042.49%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.56%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals4.84%
Wins by 3+ goals1.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals36.35%
Wins by 3+ goals17.25%
Wins by 4+ goals6.71%
Wins by 5+ goals2.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Pacos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal11.21%
Wins by 2 goals3.74%
Wins by 3 goals0.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal25.34%
Wins by 2 goals19.11%
Wins by 3 goals10.54%
Wins by 4 goals4.54%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.05%6.95%
1.574.52%25.48%
2.549.82%50.18%
3.527.86%72.14%
4.513.22%86.78%
5.55.41%94.59%
6.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.87%44.13%
1.519.77%80.23%
2.55.01%94.99%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.25%15.75%
1.555.14%44.86%
2.528.24%71.76%
3.511.66%88.34%
4.54.00%96.00%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.91%29.09%
1.534.99%65.01%
2.512.81%87.19%
3.53.69%96.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Pacos
Score012345
0
6.95%
12.84%
11.87%
7.31%
3.38%
1.25%
1
5.68%
10.51%
9.71%
5.98%
2.77%
1.02%
2
2.33%
4.30%
3.97%
2.45%
1.13%
0.42%
3
0.63%
1.17%
1.08%
0.67%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.22%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Tondela
1-05.68%
2-02.33%
2-14.30%
3-00.63%
3-11.17%
3-21.08%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.22%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-06.95%
1-110.51%
2-23.97%
3-30.67%
Pacos
0-112.84%
0-211.87%
1-29.71%
0-37.31%
1-35.98%
2-32.45%
0-43.38%
1-42.77%
2-41.13%
3-40.31%
0-51.25%
1-51.02%
2-50.42%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Pacos
Score012345
0
29.09%
24.90%
10.66%
3.04%
0.65%
0.11%
1
11.02%
9.43%
4.04%
1.15%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.09%
1.79%
0.76%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Tondela
1-011.02%
2-02.09%
2-11.79%
3-00.26%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-029.09%
1-19.43%
2-20.76%
Pacos
0-124.90%
0-210.66%
1-24.04%
0-33.04%
1-31.15%
2-30.22%
0-40.65%
1-40.25%
0-50.11%