Nacional at Gil Vicente FC

Updated

Nacional

30.0%29.7%40.3%
Nacional WinDrawGil Vicente FC Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.19
0Final Score 2

Gil Vicente FC

Last 3 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+200
L 1-2 at Pacos+450
L 2-1 vs Braga+525
Gil Vicente FC
Money Line
W 4-2 at Vitoria+325
L 2-0 vs Porto+750
L 0-1 at Tondela+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+237-+280+255+274+255+280-
Gil Vicente FC+114-+105+106+107+106+107-
Draw+239-+220+205+221+205+221-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+315----+310+310-
Gil Vicente FC+100----+100+100-
Draw+220----+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 30.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +282 to +274
Gil Vicente FC ML moved from +108 to +102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 30.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 30.0%
Gil Vicente FC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Gil Vicente FC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115-o2-145o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2-145-
Underu2½-140-u2+120u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.52%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.72%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.02%
Exactly 318.72%
Exactly 54.04%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 041.16%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.22%
Exactly 34.80%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Gil Vicente FC
Exactly 030.43%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 38.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.22%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 41.36%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 066.30%
Exactly 127.25%
Exactly 25.60%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gil Vicente FC
Exactly 057.64%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals9.25%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Gil Vicente FC
Wins by 2+ goals18.61%
Wins by 3+ goals6.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Gil Vicente FC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal18.12%
Wins by 2 goals6.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Gil Vicente FC
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals12.43%
Wins by 3 goals4.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.48%12.52%
1.561.46%38.54%
2.534.43%65.57%
3.515.71%84.29%
4.55.99%94.01%
5.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.84%41.16%
1.522.30%77.70%
2.56.08%93.92%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Gil Vicente FC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.57%30.43%
1.533.37%66.63%
2.511.83%88.17%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.78%38.22%
1.525.02%74.98%
2.57.34%92.66%
3.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Gil Vicente FC
Score012345
0
12.52%
14.90%
8.87%
3.52%
1.05%
0.25%
1
11.12%
13.23%
7.87%
3.12%
0.93%
0.22%
2
4.93%
5.87%
3.49%
1.39%
0.41%
0.10%
3
1.46%
1.74%
1.03%
0.41%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.32%
0.39%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-011.12%
2-04.93%
2-15.87%
3-01.46%
3-11.74%
3-21.03%
4-00.32%
4-10.39%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-012.52%
1-113.23%
2-23.49%
3-30.41%
Gil Vicente FC
0-114.90%
0-28.87%
1-27.87%
0-33.52%
1-33.12%
2-31.39%
0-41.05%
1-40.93%
2-40.41%
3-40.12%
0-50.25%
1-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Gil Vicente FC
Score01234
0
38.22%
21.05%
5.80%
1.06%
0.15%
1
15.71%
8.65%
2.38%
0.44%
0.06%
2
3.23%
1.78%
0.49%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.44%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-015.71%
2-03.23%
2-11.78%
3-00.44%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-038.22%
1-18.65%
2-20.49%
Gil Vicente FC
0-121.05%
0-25.80%
1-22.38%
0-31.06%
1-30.44%
0-40.15%