Casa Pia AC at Arouca

Updated

Casa Pia AC

26.7%27.8%45.5%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawArouca Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.34
0Final Score 2

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Vitoria+150
T 0-0 at Boavista+265
L 0-3 at Benfica+1300
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara+100
L 3-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+130
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-2 at Braga+640
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara+110
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+235
L 3-0 vs Benfica+950
W 0-4 vs Portimonense+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+217+230+215+231+231+231+231+247.6
Arouca+133+142+140+138+140+138+142+149.9
Draw+239+208+210+205+199+205+210+220.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+235----+220+220+247.6
Arouca+125----+145+145+149.9
Draw+225----+200+200+220.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +225 to +219
Arouca ML moved from +150 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-109o2-108o2-105o2-102o2-105o2-102o2+104
Underu2½-140u2-107u2-112u2-115u2-113u2-115u2-107u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+114

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.11%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 411.62%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.17%
Exactly 320.28%
Exactly 55.33%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 038.50%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 026.26%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 310.46%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.61%
Exactly 219.48%
Exactly 41.83%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.89%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 064.28%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 053.84%
Exactly 133.33%
Exactly 210.32%
Exactly 32.13%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals9.40%
Wins by 3+ goals2.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals21.29%
Wins by 3+ goals7.73%
Wins by 4+ goals2.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal17.27%
Wins by 2 goals6.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals13.55%
Wins by 3 goals5.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.89%10.11%
1.566.72%33.28%
2.540.18%59.82%
3.519.90%80.10%
4.58.28%91.72%
5.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.50%38.50%
1.524.75%75.25%
2.57.21%92.79%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.74%26.26%
1.538.63%61.37%
2.515.15%84.85%
3.54.69%95.31%
4.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.39%34.61%
1.528.67%71.33%
2.59.19%90.81%
3.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score012345
0
10.11%
13.52%
9.04%
4.03%
1.35%
0.36%
1
9.65%
12.90%
8.63%
3.85%
1.29%
0.34%
2
4.60%
6.16%
4.12%
1.84%
0.61%
0.16%
3
1.47%
1.96%
1.31%
0.58%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.35%
0.47%
0.31%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-09.65%
2-04.60%
2-16.16%
3-01.47%
3-11.96%
3-21.31%
4-00.35%
4-10.47%
4-20.31%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.11%
1-112.90%
2-24.12%
3-30.58%
Arouca
0-113.52%
0-29.04%
1-28.63%
0-34.03%
1-33.85%
2-31.84%
0-41.35%
1-41.29%
2-40.61%
3-40.20%
0-50.36%
1-50.34%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score01234
0
34.61%
21.43%
6.63%
1.37%
0.21%
1
15.29%
9.47%
2.93%
0.60%
0.09%
2
3.38%
2.09%
0.65%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-015.29%
2-03.38%
2-12.09%
3-00.50%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-034.61%
1-19.47%
2-20.65%
Arouca
0-121.43%
0-26.63%
1-22.93%
0-31.37%
1-30.60%
2-30.13%
0-40.21%
Portimonense at Famalicão
Santa Clara at Marítimo