Benfica at Chaves

Updated

Benfica

80.1%13.3%6.6%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.65Projected Goals 0.63
0Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Porto-115
W 1-0 at Rio Ave-375
W 1-5 vs Vitoria-650
W 3-0 at Maritimo-385
W 2-0 at FC Vizela-300
Chaves
Money Line
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC+255
L 2-1 vs Braga+485
W 2-0 at Estoril+285
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+130
L 3-1 vs Porto+900

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-316-375-420-400-398-400-375-320.6
Chaves+915+1038+1000+1050+1195+1050+1195+1107.0
Draw+450+515+500+515+573+515+573+545.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-315-----400-400-320.6
Chaves+815----+1000+1000+1107.0
Draw+450----+525+525+545.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Chaves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -400 to -420
Chaves ML moved from +1182 to +1156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 20.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -365 to -400
Chaves ML moved from +815 to +800

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3-126o3-118o3¼+102o3-116o3¼+102o3-116o3¼+111
Underu3-126u3+108u3-102u3¼-122u3-104u3¼-122u3¼-122u3¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+111
Under-----u3¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3¼+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.77%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 418.13%
Exactly 66.49%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.37%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 511.89%
Exactly 73.04%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 053.02%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 210.67%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.93%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 44.84%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 312.77%
Exactly 51.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 074.54%
Exactly 121.90%
Exactly 23.22%
Exactly 30.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals59.01%
Wins by 3+ goals36.74%
Wins by 4+ goals19.37%
Wins by 5+ goals8.75%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals1.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Chaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal21.02%
Wins by 2 goals22.27%
Wins by 3 goals17.37%
Wins by 4 goals10.63%
Wins by 5 goals5.33%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal5.04%
Wins by 2 goals1.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.23%3.77%
1.583.86%16.14%
2.563.59%36.41%
3.541.46%58.54%
4.523.32%76.68%
5.511.44%88.56%
6.54.95%95.05%
7.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.07%25.93%
2.549.22%50.78%
3.527.33%72.67%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.98%53.02%
1.513.34%86.66%
2.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.07%21.93%
1.544.79%55.21%
2.519.55%80.45%
3.56.78%93.22%
4.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Chaves
Score0123
0
3.77%
2.39%
0.76%
0.16%
1
9.97%
6.33%
2.01%
0.42%
2
13.18%
8.36%
2.65%
0.56%
3
11.61%
7.36%
2.34%
0.49%
4
7.67%
4.86%
1.54%
0.33%
5
4.05%
2.57%
0.82%
0.17%
Benfica
1-09.97%
2-013.18%
2-18.36%
3-011.61%
3-17.36%
3-22.34%
4-07.67%
4-14.86%
4-21.54%
4-30.33%
5-04.05%
5-12.57%
5-20.82%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-03.77%
1-16.33%
2-22.65%
3-30.49%
Chaves
0-12.39%
0-20.76%
1-22.01%
0-30.16%
1-30.42%
2-30.56%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Chaves
Score0123
0
21.93%
6.44%
0.95%
0.09%
1
26.83%
7.88%
1.16%
0.11%
2
16.41%
4.82%
0.71%
0.07%
3
6.69%
1.97%
0.29%
0.03%
4
2.05%
0.60%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.50%
0.15%
0.02%
0.00%
6
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Benfica
1-026.83%
2-016.41%
2-14.82%
3-06.69%
3-11.97%
3-20.29%
4-02.05%
4-10.60%
5-00.50%
5-10.15%
6-00.10%
Draw
0-021.93%
1-17.88%
2-20.71%
Chaves
0-16.44%
0-20.95%
1-21.16%
1-30.11%