Sporting CP at Arouca

Updated

Sporting CP

78.0%14.7%7.2%
Sporting CP WinDrawWin
2.46Projected Goals 0.61
0Final Score 1

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Sporting CP
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC-280
W 2-1 at Santa Clara-200
W 1-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-330
L 1-2 at Boavista-240
W 0-4 vs Portimonense-325
Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 at Maritimo+200
W 1-4 vs Famalicao+175
T 1-1 at Pacos+195
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+205
L 2-1 vs Boavista+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-6.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-225-133-135-128-217-128-128-127.9
Arouca+550+385+350+295+590+295+590+425.2
Draw+340+280+270+280+334+280+334+302.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-205-----165-165-127.9
Arouca+600----+440+440+425.2
Draw+320----+310+310+302.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 30.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Arouca: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -227 to -238
Arouca ML moved from +310 to +290

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 40.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -220 to -230
Arouca ML moved from +650 to +440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-127o2¾-102o2¾+101-o2¾+101o2½-127o2½-108
Underu2¾-115u2½+109u2¾-118u2¾-121-u2¾-121u2¾-118u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.65%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 65.39%
Exactly 80.91%
 
Exactly 114.26%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.54%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 08.56%
Exactly 121.04%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 413.02%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 054.33%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 210.11%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.15%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 51.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 032.04%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 075.39%
Exactly 121.30%
Exactly 23.01%
Exactly 30.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals55.50%
Wins by 3+ goals32.97%
Wins by 4+ goals16.44%
Wins by 5+ goals6.96%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.65%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Sporting CP
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals22.53%
Wins by 3 goals16.53%
Wins by 4 goals9.48%
Wins by 5 goals4.45%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal5.56%
Wins by 2 goals1.38%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.35%4.65%
1.581.09%18.91%
2.559.20%40.80%
3.536.81%63.19%
4.519.64%80.36%
5.59.10%90.90%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.44%8.56%
1.570.41%29.59%
2.544.55%55.45%
3.523.36%76.64%
4.510.33%89.67%
5.53.93%96.07%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.67%54.33%
1.512.53%87.47%
2.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.85%24.15%
1.541.53%58.47%
2.517.15%82.85%
3.55.61%94.39%
4.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sporting CP
Arouca
Score0123
0
4.65%
2.84%
0.87%
0.18%
1
11.43%
6.97%
2.13%
0.43%
2
14.05%
8.57%
2.62%
0.53%
3
11.51%
7.02%
2.14%
0.44%
4
7.08%
4.32%
1.32%
0.27%
5
3.48%
2.12%
0.65%
0.13%
Sporting CP
1-011.43%
2-014.05%
2-18.57%
3-011.51%
3-17.02%
3-22.14%
4-07.08%
4-14.32%
4-21.32%
4-30.27%
5-03.48%
5-12.12%
5-20.65%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-04.65%
1-16.97%
2-22.62%
3-30.44%
Arouca
0-12.84%
0-20.87%
1-22.13%
0-30.18%
1-30.43%
2-30.53%

Correct Score - First Half

Sporting CP
Arouca
Score0123
0
24.15%
6.82%
0.96%
0.09%
1
27.49%
7.77%
1.10%
0.10%
2
15.65%
4.42%
0.62%
0.06%
3
5.94%
1.68%
0.24%
0.02%
4
1.69%
0.48%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.38%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Sporting CP
1-027.49%
2-015.65%
2-14.42%
3-05.94%
3-11.68%
3-20.24%
4-01.69%
4-10.48%
5-00.38%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-024.15%
1-17.77%
2-20.62%
Arouca
0-16.82%
0-20.96%
1-21.10%
1-30.10%