Moreirense at Belenenses

Updated

Moreirense

32.7%31.2%36.2%
Moreirense WinDrawBelenenses Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 1

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Braga+450
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+325
L 2-1 vs Benfica+750
W 0-3 vs Famalicao+290
L 1-2 at Braga+600
Belenenses
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1500
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+170
L 0-2 at Porto+1450
L 0-4 at Porto+1300
L 2-0 vs Santa Clara+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+175-+120+121+111+121+121-
Belenenses+175-+250+250+262+250+262-
Draw+200-+210+191+222+191+222-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+155----+120+120-
Belenenses+210----+250+250-
Draw+200----+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +117 to +106
Belenenses ML moved from +277 to +262

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +130 to +120
Belenenses ML moved from +245 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2-130o2-119-o2-119o2-119-
Underu2¼-120-u2+110u2-101-u2-101u2+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.0%
 
No61.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.06%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.68%
Exactly 61.11%
 
Exactly 127.58%
Exactly 317.69%
Exactly 53.41%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 039.44%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.07%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 035.65%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.96%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.32%
Exactly 216.63%
Exactly 41.14%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 065.00%
Exactly 128.00%
Exactly 26.03%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 062.03%
Exactly 129.62%
Exactly 27.07%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals11.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals14.35%
Wins by 3+ goals4.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Belenenses
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal20.45%
Wins by 2 goals8.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal22.67%
Wins by 2 goals10.18%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.94%14.06%
1.558.36%41.64%
2.531.30%68.70%
3.513.61%86.39%
4.54.93%95.07%
5.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.56%39.44%
1.523.87%76.13%
2.56.80%93.20%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.35%35.65%
1.527.58%72.42%
2.58.62%91.38%
3.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.68%40.32%
1.523.06%76.94%
2.56.42%93.58%
3.51.39%98.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Belenenses
Score01234
0
14.06%
14.50%
7.48%
2.57%
0.66%
1
13.08%
13.49%
6.96%
2.39%
0.62%
2
6.09%
6.28%
3.24%
1.11%
0.29%
3
1.89%
1.95%
1.00%
0.35%
0.09%
4
0.44%
0.45%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Moreirense
1-013.08%
2-06.09%
2-16.28%
3-01.89%
3-11.95%
3-21.00%
4-00.44%
4-10.45%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-014.06%
1-113.49%
2-23.24%
3-30.35%
Belenenses
0-114.50%
0-27.48%
1-26.96%
0-32.57%
1-32.39%
2-31.11%
0-40.66%
1-40.62%
2-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Belenenses
Score0123
0
40.32%
19.25%
4.60%
0.73%
1
17.37%
8.29%
1.98%
0.32%
2
3.74%
1.79%
0.43%
0.07%
3
0.54%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-017.37%
2-03.74%
2-11.79%
3-00.54%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-040.32%
1-18.29%
2-20.43%
Belenenses
0-119.25%
0-24.60%
1-21.98%
0-30.73%
1-30.32%